Key Country Indicators
GDP (current US$)
160.91
B
in 2028Inflation rate, average consumer prices
8.3
%
in 2028Real GDP growth
8.2
in 2028Population Growth
2.5
%
in 2026Population, total
138.9
M
in 2026Internally Displaced Persons (IDPs)
3.1
M
in 2025Urban Population
24.1
in 2025International Migrants
1.2
M
in 2024Population Density
114.0
people/km²
in 2023Multidimensional poverty headcount ratio (% of population)
68.7 in 2019
Seasonal Calendar
The seasonal calendar visually encapsulates significant climate-related events, agricultural planning , and the occurrence of natural disasters through a intuitive chart. Each event is meticulously charted, spanning across months to depict its duration and timing throughout the year. This graphical representation offers a clear and concise overview, facilitating informed decision-making and strategic planning for the National Societies
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
Seasonal hazard
Planting and growing
Harvest
Lean season
Risks
Overall Risk Score
Moderately High
7.1/10
20222023202420252026
Overall Risk Rank
Among the top 25% most at-risk countries
15th
out of 191 countries
Hazard & Exposure
Moderately High
Vulnerability
Moderately High
Lack of Coping Capacity
Moderately High
Crisis Severity
Improved way to analyze the severity of humanitarian crises globally. It allows measurement of severity against an objective, common scale, which can be applied to all crises.
Overall Severity Score
High
8.4/10
20252026
Overall Severity Class
High risk of crisis impact
Overall Severity Rank
Among the top 25% most at-risk countries
12th
out of 85 countries
Daily Updates and Emerging Signals
| Date | Title | Description | STEEP | Level | Source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25-09-2026 | Conflict in Ethiopia | The power struggle between the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and Ethiopia’s federal government has reignited after lying dormant since the 2020–22 civil war. In September 2026, the TPLF joined the seven-group Alliance for Survival aimed at overthrowing Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed and... | Political | Global Conflict Tracker | |
| 25-09-2026 | Further to earlier reporting, OCHA describes a continued escalation of unrest in northern Ethiopia , where combat between the government and a coalition of insurgent forces has spread this week from | Further to earlier reporting, OCHA describes a continued escalation of unrest in northern Ethiopia , where combat between the government and a coalition of insurgent forces has spread this week from Tigray into Amhara and Afar regions and is reportedly causing displacement and hindering humanitarian access (see also yesterday's UNOCC Daily ). The UN, AU, EU, and the US have expressed concern and called for a de- escalation and a return to political dialogue . | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 24-09-2026 | Media reports describe escalating tensions in Tigray Region, where federal authorities and the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TLPF) have accus ed each other of undertaking major offensives | Media reports describe escalating tensions in Tigray Region, where federal authorities and the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TLPF) have accus ed each other of undertaking major offensives . The Ethiopian military claims to have killed 272 TLPF elements and wounded 260 others yesterday ; Tigrayan forces , meanwhile, were credited with seizing airports in the region . There are concerns about a possible spillover of this conflict , with violence spread ing to neighbouring Afar and Amhara regions (see also yesterday's UNOCC Daily ). | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 23-09-2026 | Further to yesterday's mention, OCHA notes reported attacks by Tigray Security Forces that, last Friday, resulted in approximately 25,380 people displaced in Megale Woreda, Kilbati Zone (Tigray | Further to yesterday's mention, OCHA notes reported attacks by Tigray Security Forces that, last Friday, resulted in approximately 25,380 people displaced in Megale Woreda, Kilbati Zone (Tigray Region) . Other report s describe an escalation along the Tigray -Amhara boundary over the past three days, with fighting reportedly spreading into Amhara and disrupting commercial flights from Tigray. | Political | UNOCC | |
| 22-09-2026 | OCHA warns of a continued deterioration of the security and political environment in Tigray Region , where clashes resulting in casualt ies and civilian displacement were reported across several areas | OCHA warns of a continued deterioration of the security and political environment in Tigray Region , where clashes resulting in casualt ies and civilian displacement were reported across several areas . A contracted truck transporting food aid for some 56,000 displaced persons in Shiraro was damaged in a drone strike . In a larger sense, media r eports describe a partnership between the Tigray People's Liberation Front and six other anti -government groups . | Environmental, Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 21-09-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 21 September 2026, TDF soldiers rounded up and abducted nearly 75 people, detained them in 03 kebele of Alamata town, Alamata (Southern Tigray, Tigray), and forcibly conscripted them into military service. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 20-09-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Tigray | Change to armed group: On 20 September 2026, seven Ethiopian armed groups formed a coalition called the 'Ethiopian Peoples' Forces Alliance for Survival' (Alliance for Survival). The coalition includes the Amhara Fano National Movement (AFNM), Oromo Liberation Army (OLA), Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF), Ogaden National Liberation Front (ONLF, led by Abdikadir Addaani Hirmooge), Afar Revolutionary Democratic Unity Front (Ugugumo), Benishangul Peoples' Liberation Movement (BPLM), and Gumuz Peoples' Democratic Movement (GPDM). Zemene Kassie, AFNM chairman, made the announcement during a live statement on Tigray TV from Mekelle, Mekele - Unspecified (Mekelle Tigray, Tigray). Their joint aim is to remove the Prosperity Party-led government and establish an all-inclusive transitional government. The Alliance for Survival called for other political and civic organizations in Ethiopia to join its objectives. Federal government officials accused Eritrea of supporting the coalition's formation. Some Oromo politicians raised concerns regarding OLA's involvement, suggesting it might enhance the TPLF's negotiating leverage while bolstering the federal government's narrative to diminish public support for the rebels in their regions. Just days before the coalition announcement, OLA described the emerging alliance among armed groups as a 'procedural consensus,' emphasizing that it did not constitute a political agreement or grant any group authority over Ethiopia's political future, but instead aimed to prevent internal conflict. Additionally, the Wolkayt Tegede Amhara Identity Restoration Committee rejected the new coalition, labeling it an 'anti-Amhara conspiracy.' The UN has expressed deep concern over what it described as a worsening security situation in Ethiopia, citing the formation of a new coalition of armed groups, continued insecurity, and drone strikes. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 20-09-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 20 September 2026 (as reported), 59 Fano militia members surrendered, along with their weapons, to the ENDF in Gedebge (Wegera, Central Gondar, Amhara). 5 other Fano militia members surrendered, along with their weapons, to the ENDF in Addi Arekay Woreda. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 20-09-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, South Ethiopia Region | On 20 September 2026, suspected Turkana ethnic militia from Kenya shot and killed 1 and injured 1 ethnic Dassanech civilian in Bale along the Ethio-Kenyan border (location coded to the administrative center, Omorate, Dasenech-Kuraz, South Omo, South Ethiopia Region). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 20-09-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 20 September 2026, around 10:30 am, the Ethiopian Air Force (ENDF) conducted a drone strike on a truck carrying food assistance (mainly grain and oil) destined for an IDP camp in Sheraro, supported by Catholic Relief Services (CRS) for IDPs in Swudey village, in Hebret, Adi Daero (North Western Tigray, Tigray). At least 1 civilian was injured and taken to Adi-Daero Primary Hospital for treatment. The truck driver stopped the vehicle and fled to save his life after the initial strike hit a cultivated field before hitting the truck. The fire destroyed the truck, 35.9 metric tons of white maize, and 5.106 metric tons of vegetable oil. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 19-09-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Gambela | Other: On 19 September 2026, an unidentified armed group opened fire in 03 Kebele in Gambella (Gambela town, Agnewak, Gambela). The firing followed the attack on the passengers' vehicle in Akade that left 16 people killed by an unidentified armed group (coded separately). There were no fatalities. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 19-09-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 19 September 2026, around 11:30 am, the Ethiopian Air Force (ENDF) conducted multiple drone strikes targeting TDF forces in two locations (known as Gerah Bolwo and Babur/Train Station) in Kebele 1, Maychew town, Maichew (Southern Tigray, Tigray). The first strike killed 1 civilian in the Gerah Bolwo neighborhood, and an unspecified number of TDF soldiers who were holding a meeting in a forested area near Train Station were killed and injured. Eyewitnesses said that TDF soldiers prevented people from approaching the area following the attack. However, Bajajes (three-wheeled taxis) were observed at some distance from the location, transporting injured military personnel from the area. The TPLF-led administration accused the federal government of injuring civilians and damaging residential property and other assets. Unspecified number of fatalities was coded as 3. Total fatalities coded as 4 (1 civilian + 3 unspecified fatalities). | Conflict | Fatalities: 4 | ACLED |
| 19-09-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 19 September 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members surrendered, along with their weapons, to the ENDF in Legambo Woreda (location coded to the admin center, Akesta, Legambo, South Wello, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 18-09-2026 | 11 Battles events in Ethiopia (-58% vs previous week) | 11 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 58% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 11 locations including Ankober, Asosa, Dessie and 8 additional locations. These events resulted in 48 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 48 | ACLED |
| 18-09-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, South Ethiopia Region | Security measures: On 18 September 2026, the Kore (also called Amaro) Zone administration (coded as the Government of Ethiopia) imposed a curfew in Kelle Town (Amaro, South Ethiopia Region), banning public gatherings, open market gatherings, unauthorized meetings, and movement outside the zonal administration border. According to the statement of the zonal administration, the curfew was imposed to address the killings of civilians, pillage, and displacement of civilians by the armed group (mentioned as anti-peace forces) originating from the West Guji zone of Oromia. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 18-09-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Gambela | On 18 September 2026, an unidentified armed group attacked 6 passengers' vehicle and killed 16 civilians in Akado (Gambela Zuria, Agnewak, Gambela). The perpetrators wounded around 60 civilians. The attack occurred while the victims were traveling from Gambela towards Itang, Lare, and Jikawa Woredas in a convoy being patrolled by state security forces. | Conflict | Fatalities: 16 | ACLED |
| 18-09-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 18 September 2026, 56 Fano militia members operating near the Barna and Mare rivers in Janamora Woreda surrendered to the ENDF at an unspecified location in Janamora Woreda (location coded to the admin center Mekane Birhan, Janamora, North Gondar, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 16-09-2026 | Earthquake in Ethiopia — near 9.02, 40.13 | Earthquake in Ethiopia Magnitude 4.5M, Depth:10km Minor Impact. Alert: Green. Magnitude: 4.5. | Environmental | Green | GDACS |
| 11-09-2026 | 11 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (+10% vs previous week) | 11 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 10% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 11 locations including Addi Arkay, Arat Kilo, Bahir Dar and 8 additional locations. List of events: 1. Agreement: On 5 September 2026, 46 Fano militia members operating in Sera and Mereba areas surrendered, along with their weapons, to the ENDF in Debark Woreda (location coded to the admin center Debark, Debark town, North Gondar, Amhara). | 2. Non-violent transfer of territory: On 5 September 2026, Fano took over Delgi (Takusa, Central Gondar, Amhara) after government forces withdrew from the town. The ENDF withdrew without clashes and repositioned in Chuahit. Local administrators relocated the Woreda offices to Chuahit. After controlling the town, Fano broke into the Woreda's fertilizer store and distributed it to farmers at a discounted price. Fano withdrew from the town on 8 September 2026 following the remobilization of the ENDF soldiers from Chuahit. No clashes reported. | 3. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 6 September 2026, a large number of RSF-affiliated troops arrived at Fana military camp near Kirmuk (Kurmuk, Asosa, Benshangul/Gumuz). According to the governor of Kurmuk, the troops arrived in Ethiopia via Assosa airport with support from the UAE. They moved to the military camp to receive military training before their deployment. According to the United Nations Independent International Fact-Finding Mission for the Sudan, the Ethiopian government has not responded to general accusations that it permitted the RSF to use its territory to train RSF forces and provided logistics support to the group. | 4. Agreement: On 7 September 2026, elders representing the Meskan and Mareko ethnic groups held a peace dialogue in Buta Jira (Butajira town, Guraghe, Central Ethiopia). State representatives and opposition political parties active in the area participated in the dialogue, which aimed to restore peace and end hostilities between the two ethnic groups. | 5. Other: On 7 September 2026, the Federal Ministry of Education had warned Mekelle, Aksum, Adigrat, and Raya universities that it would not post students to those institutions unless Tigray Defense Force (TDF) combatants and gunmen, who were currently occupying the campuses, vacated the premises. The Ministry stated that military activities on campuses had endangered students' lives and urged the institutions to ensure that their resources were not being used for military purposes. Location coded to Arat Kilo, a Ministry location, Arada (Region 14, Addis Ababa). | 6. Agreement: Around 8 September 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members operating in the Armadega and Bete Mariyam areas surrendered, along with their weapons, to the ENDF in Addi Arkay Woreda (location coded to the admin center Addi Arkay, Addi Arekay, North Gondar, Amhara). | 7. Looting/property destruction: Looting: On 8 September 2026, armed actors (likely OLF-OLA, described as 'originating from the West Guji Zone of the Oromia Region' and in prior events) looted livestock in Gorka Woreda, also called Amaro Woreda (location coded to the administrative center Kelle Town, Amaro, South Ethiopia Region). | 8. Agreement: On 8 September 2026, the Fano militia's Head of Finance and Politburo member of the Amhara Fano National Movement (AFNM) defected to the Tekeze Guard (coded as Kebele Militias) at Wolkait (location coded to the zonal admin center, Humera town, Setit Humera, West Tigray, Tigray). The decision stems from internal disagreements over the planned alliance with Tigray forces. | 9. Change to group/activity: Change to armed group: On 8 September 2026, the ENDF established a new paramilitary arrangement called the 'Amhara Peace Force' at an unspecified location in the Amhara region (location coded to the regional administrative center, Bahir Dar, Bahir Dar town, West Gojam, Amhara). The newly formed security arrangement includes demobilized and reintegrated former Fano militia members. The newly formed arrangement operates under the ENDF's direct command. | 10. Looting/property destruction: Looting: On 8 September 2026, suspected Kebele militias looted more than 100 donkeys carrying grain belonging to ethnic Amhara farmers in Mukiye, Adama (East Shewa, Oromia), after accusing them of hiding Fano militias. | 11. Looting/property destruction: Looting: On 10 September 2026, suspected OLF-OLA looted 15 goats and 5 cattle from civilians in Huruta Dore (Jeju, Arsi). No further information. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 11-09-2026 | 26 Battles events in Ethiopia (-16% vs previous week) | 26 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 16% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 21 locations including Ayda Sagora, Gashena, Gebeze Mariam and 18 additional locations. These events resulted in 88 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 88 | ACLED |
| 09-09-2026 | Belated OHCHR reports indicate that the Oromo Liberation Army allegedly carried out large -scale attacks in Ayishinjadim and Ayijamp kebeles on 11, 19 and 26 August, resulting in civilian casualties, | Belated OHCHR reports indicate that the Oromo Liberation Army allegedly carried out large -scale attacks in Ayishinjadim and Ayijamp kebeles on 11, 19 and 26 August, resulting in civilian casualties, including children, and widespread destruction of property and infrastructure. According to local authorities, over 11,368 people have been displaced, many sheltering in fi elds and forested areas without adequate humanitarian assistance. Meanwhile, heavy rainfall and hailstorms last Friday damaged IDP shelters and communal infrastructure in Shire and Sheraro, in northwestern Tigray, which hosts some 177,500 IDPs . | Technological | UNOCC | |
| 08-09-2026 | OCHA reports that recent heavy rainfa ll in Oromia Region has resulted in flooding with at least 27, people displaced and in urgent need of humanitarian assistance | OCHA reports that recent heavy rainfa ll in Oromia Region has resulted in flooding with at least 27, people displaced and in urgent need of humanitarian assistance. The flooding has also damaged approximately 4,500 houses, eight health posts, eight schools, and 13 water points, while inundating an estimated 7,300 hectares of farmland, raising food security and livelihood concerns. | Environmental, Political, Social, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 04-09-2026 | 10 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (+25% vs previous week) | 10 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 25% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 10 locations including Adama, Addi Arkay, Adigrat and 7 additional locations. List of events: 1. Agreement: On 29 August 2026, 7 OLF-OLA fighters peacefully surrendered to ENDF at an unspecified location in West Shewa zone (location coded to the zonal admin center, Ambo town, Ambo, West Shewa, Oromia). The motivation for the OLF-OLA fighters' surrender is unknown. Sources also said 3 more OLF-OLA fighters surrendered at an unspecified location in the South West Shewa zone. The group also handed over their weapons to security forces, including 8 Kalashnikov-type rifles, 465 rounds of ammunition of various types, 3 grenades, 16 Kalashnikov magazines, and other weapons and military equipment. | 2. Other: On 30 August 2026, an unspecified number of youths who were suspected of being forcibly conscripted for military service escaped from ENDF on their way to a camp near Adama town, Adama (East Shewa, Oromia), after pretending to say farewell to their families who were waiting for them. | 3. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 31 August 2026, around 50 - 200 Fano militia members crossed the Abay River from the Amhara Region and entered Kiremu Woreda in East Wollega Zone through Bagin, Kiremu (East Wollega, Oromia). The movement is likely to reinforce the Fano groups in East Wollega. | 4. Agreement: Around 31 August 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members surrendered to the ENDF in Debark Woreda (location coded to the admin center Debark, Debark town, North Gondar, Amhara). | 5. Other: On 31 August 2026, an unspecified number of forcibly recruited youths escaped from a truck escorted by TDF soldiers in Mekelle City, Kebelle 09, Mekele - Kedamay Weyane Sub-city (Mekelle Tigray, Tigray), after the truck stopped due to mechanical failure. They were being transported to the Samre and Adi Gudom military training facilities. | 6. Looting/property destruction: Looting: On 31 August 2026, armed groups (likely Nyangatom ethnic militia, mentioned as 'irritated Nyangatom youth') looted over 100 cattle owned by the Turkana ethnic group near Kibish (Nyngatom, South Omo, South Ethiopia Region). The perpetrators drove the looted cattle to Lotomian Kebele and returned around 30 cattle through reconciliation efforts by local elders. The looting was a retaliation for the attack by ethnic Nyangatom youth on Turkana youths on 30 August 2026 (coded separately). | 7. Other: On 1 September 2026, TDF moved around 600 war-wounded TDF personnel and sheltered them at the main campus of Adigrat University, Adigrat town (Eastern Tigray, Tigray), without the university's permission. The war-wounded TDF soldiers who were injured during the 2020-2022 conflict had been living at Awash Medical Center in Mekelle town. | 8. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 1 September 2026 (beginning of month), the Sudanese RSF increased its activity in rural areas of Sherkole and in Sherkole town (Benshangul/Gumuz). Some RSF military vehicles were observed carrying automatic guns, parked in the compound of the Sherkole woreda police station and in a warehouse under construction, suspected of being used to repair these vehicles in a military camp near Assosa town. | 9. Agreement: Around 2 September 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members surrendered to the ENDF in Ango in Addi Arekay Woreda (location coded to the admin center Addi Arkay, Addi Arekay, North Gondar, Amhara). | 10. Other: On 3 September 2026, TDF moved around 600 war-wounded TDF personnel and sheltered them in dormitories at the main campus of Aksum University, in Axum town (Central Tigray, Tigray). The war-wounded TDF soldiers who were injured during the 2020-2022 conflict had been living at Awash Medical Center in Mekelle town. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 04-09-2026 | 31 Battles events in Ethiopia (+11% vs previous week) | 31 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 11% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 28 locations including Manbuk, Mekoy, Woji and 25 additional locations. These events resulted in 140 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 140 | ACLED |
| 03-09-2026 | According to humanitarian partners and local authorities, inter -communal violence in the Wollega zones (Oromia Region) since 31 July has resulted in killings, widespread destruction including | According to humanitarian partners and local authorities, inter -communal violence in the Wollega zones (Oromia Region) since 31 July has resulted in killings, widespread destruction including burning of shelters, looting, loss of livestock, farmland and ot her assets. Some displaced households are reportedly sheltering in remote areas with limited access to food and protection services . | Political | UNOCC | |
| 31-08-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 31 August 2026, TDF (Army 60) abducted 30 people, described as 'peaceful activists', including a leader of the Tigray Independent Party (TIP), in Gelebeda and Kola Tembien (location coded to Gelebeda, one of the locations, in Keyhe tekli, Central Tigray, Tigray), after accusing them of opposing the TPLF/TDF's forced conscription campaign. TIP condemned the abduction and called on the entire people of the country to intensify their struggle to remove this repressive group and establish a regime that will preserve national unity. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-08-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 31 August 2026, Fano militia members killed 3 civilians and abducted an ambulance driver in Lelistu Anger, Gida Ayana ( East Wollega, Oromia). According to residents, the three civilians were found dead inside an ambulance, while the armed group abducted the ambulance driver during the incident. | Conflict | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 31-08-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 31 August 2026, Fano militias shot and killed 3 civilians around Bagin, Kiremu (East Wellega, Oromia), after entering the area from the Amhara Regional State. The attack forced residents along the Mormor/Abay River, including Ashu Kusaye, Marga Jirenya, and other rural kebeles, to leave their homes and flee toward areas under the control of government forces. | Conflict | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 30-08-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 30 August 2026, unspecified militants (coded as an unidentified armed group) abducted 5 woreda employees, including the head of a health center, an agricultural expert, and a woreda finance office driver, who were traveling by ambulance from Meki to Alem Tena, in Bora woreda (location coded to Alem Tena, East Shewa, Oromia). The armed group also burned down the vehicle. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-08-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, South Ethiopia Region | On 30 August 2026, armed actors (likely Turkana ethnic militia, mentioned as 'Turkana youth') assaulted an ethnic Nyangatom civilian in Kibish (Nyngatom, South Omo, South Ethiopia Region), severely injuring the victim. The ethnic Nyangatom youth looted over 100 cattle owned by the Turkana ethnic group in retaliation the next day (coded separately). The victim was moving from Kibish to Lotomian village when attacked by the perpetrators. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-08-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | Around 29 August 2026 (weekend of), suspected Fano militias (AFNM) attacked residents and killed at least 56- 60 ethnic Oromo civilians (fatalities uncorroborated) at an unspecified location in Gida Ayana (location coded to the admin center, Ayana, East Wellega, Oromia). Uncorroborated fatalities coded as 10. | Conflict | Fatalities: 10 | ACLED |
| 28-08-2026 | 28 Battles events in Ethiopia (-15% vs previous week) | 28 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 15% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 21 locations including Fetera, Dima, Leman and 18 additional locations. These events resulted in 105 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 105 | ACLED |
| 28-08-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Oromia | Change to armed group: On 28 August 2026, around 35 - 50 ethnic Amhara ENDF soldiers left an ENDF military camp in Gida Ayana and defected to the Fano militia (Bizamo and AFNM) stationed along the Waja River in Limu woreda (location coded to Saphera, where the Waja River is located, in Limu, East Wellega, Oromia). The soldiers also took 1 Bren machine gun, 1 sniper rifle, and 7 Kalashnikov-type rifles with them. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-08-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, South Ethiopia Region | On 28 August 2026, armed actors (likely Guji Clan Militia, mentioned as 'those originating from West Guji Zone of Oromia Region' and from prior events) killed 1 civilian in Gamule Kebele in Gorka Woreda, also called Amaro Woreda (location coded to the administrative center Kelle Town, Amaro, South Ethiopia Region). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 28-08-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 28 August 2026 (as reported), Amhara regional state police were accused of arresting over 52 civilians in Wegere (Menze Lalo Midir, North Shewa, Amhara). The arrested individuals were accused of being affiliated with Fano and being family members of the Fano militia. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 27-08-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Benshangul/Gumuz | On 27 August 2026, suspected OLF-OLA shot and killed 2 civilians in Anger Meti, also called Ayshanjidim (Mizyiga, Kemashi, Benshangul/Gumuz). The attack led to the displacement of over 5,000 residents. The perpetrators were accused of burning around 1 thousands civilians' houses and hundreds of quintals of grain, and looting hundreds of cattle. The ENDF arrived in the area and started an operation to search for the missing and displaced population. There were no clashes between ENDF and OLF-OLA. | Conflict | Fatalities: 2 | ACLED |
| 27-08-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 27 August 2026, at approximately 9:20 pm, ENDF carried out a drone strike in Abreha Atsbeha, Kelete Awelallo (Eastern Tigray, Tigray). The strike hit Kelete Awelallo Primary School, destroying classrooms and educational materials. No further information is available on whether military equipment or personnel were inside the school at the time of the strike. The woreda administrator condemned the Federal government for the strike. Casualties unknown. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 25-08-2026 | Forest fires in Ethiopia — 5,053 ha burned | Forest fires in Ethiopia Green impact for forestfire in 5053 ha 5,053 ha burned. Minor Impact. Alert: Green. | Environmental | Green | GDACS |
| 21-08-2026 | 33 Battles events in Ethiopia (+10% vs previous week) | 33 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 10% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 27 locations including Ahun Tegegn, Amdework, Debre Zeyit and 24 additional locations. These events resulted in 142 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 142 | ACLED |
| 14-08-2026 | 30 Battles events in Ethiopia (+43% vs previous week) | 30 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 43% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 26 locations including Gutin, Inseno, Abba Jema and 23 additional locations. These events resulted in 137 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 137 | ACLED |
| 09-08-2026 | Earthquake in Ethiopia — near 8.81, 40.07 | Earthquake in Ethiopia Minor Impact. Alert: Green. | Environmental | Green | GDACS |
| 07-08-2026 | 21 Battles events in Ethiopia (-46% vs previous week) | 21 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 46% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 20 locations including Lemi, Akesta, Amba Giorgis and 17 additional locations. These events resulted in 35 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 35 | ACLED |
| 07-08-2026 | 13 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (+44% vs previous week) | 13 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 44% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 11 locations including Alamata, Addis Ababa, Bisober and 8 additional locations. List of events: 1. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 1 August 2026 (weekend of), TDF soldiers, mainly Army 26 unit, were deployed and mobilized across Raya Alamata, Zata, Finarwa, Buta Merfe, Jarota, Daniya Leko, Selen Wuha, Baybawa, Timuga, and other locations in Raya Alamata woreda (location coded to Alamata town, Alamata, Southern Tigray, Tigray). More TDF soldiers also arrived in Alamata town in several patrol vehicles. The mobilization of forces followed an armed confrontation between ENDF and TDF units in Shererina along the Ethio-Sudanese border on 1 August. Several residents have fled to Kobo town due to the threat of war following increased military activity in the town. | 2. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 1 August 2026 (beginning of month), TDF transported Eritrean-supplied tanks and heavy artillery, including 7 tanks, 5 ZU-23 anti-aircraft guns, long-range weapons, and other heavy artillery, moving towards the Raya front and positioning the weapons in the direction of Alamata - Kobo (location coded to Alamata town, Southern Tigray, Tigray). Sources claimed that the military hardware traveled through Adigrat, May Mekeda and Mekelle before continuing south towards Raya, raising fresh concerns that the emerging 'Tsimdo' alliance between the EDF and TPLF/TDF is developing into an increasingly militarised pact. The deployment comes amid mounting military tension between the TDF and ENDF in the Raya Alamata border area between the Tigray and Amhara regions. Earlier in August, TDF forces deployed heavy military equipment around Chercher, Bisober, and the Waja line towards Kobo (coded separately). | 3. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 1 August 2026 (weekend of), the TDF deployed its Amy 43 unit to Bisober, Chercher (Southern Tigray, Tigray), along areas bordering the Afar region. The deployment occurred amid escalating tensions between the Federal Government and the TPLF. | 4. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 1 August 2026 (weekend of), TDF moved its Army 24 unit from Alamata and deployed to Waja, Raya Alamata (Southern Tigray, Tigray). The deployment occurred amid escalating tensions between the Federal Government and the TPLF. | 5. Looting/property destruction: Looting: On 2 August 2026, suspected TDF soldiers stopped and looted an unspecified number of people on the streets of Alamata town, Alamata (Southern Tigray, Tigray). The group also went house-to-house, looting civilians' property. | 6. Other: On 2 August 2026, members of the Eritrean Military (EDF) and the Eritrean Senafe Administrator held a 'people-to-people' (Tsimdo) meeting with TPLF-led local administrators in Tigray in Fatsi, Gulo Mekeda (Eastern Tigray, Tigray). The development came amid escalating tensions between the TPLF and the federal government. The federal government accused the TPLF of building alliances with external forces aiming to 'destroy Ethiopia'. | 7. Looting/property destruction: Looting: On 2 August 2026, heavily armed security and intelligence agents (likely Federal Police and National Intelligence Officers, given their prior involvement in related incidents) raided Addis Standard's newsroom in the CMC neighborhood, Kotobe, Yeka (Region 14, Addis Ababa), looted and destroyed critical broadcasting gear, cameras, and personal equipment. The next day, the landlord ordered the media house to vacate the office space it had occupied for 16 years within three days, a sudden eviction notice the company believes was forced by local police. The media company called on international partners to publicly condemn the government's latest attacks and to press the authorities to respect media freedom and ensure that journalists can work without fear of arbitrary detention, intimidation, or reprisals. The latest incidents occurred as the company was pursuing a legal challenge against the Ethiopian Media Authority (EMA) over its February decision to revoke Addis Standard's online media registration certificate, a move the publisher argues effectively barred the outlet from legally operating in Ethiopia. | 8. Arrests: On 3 August 2026, Federal Police arrested 3 members of the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Party (EPRP) in Addis Ababa, Lideta (Region 14, Addis Ababa), including its public relations head and a lawyer who represented individuals associated with the party in Addis Ababa. The Federal Police accused them of involvement in 'a plot to overthrow the constitutional order by force' and requested a 14-day extension of their remand from the court to complete the investigation. | 9. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 4 August 2026 (as reported), ENDF mobilized and moved 12 battlefield tanks from Bure to Chifra, Chifra (Awsi-Zone 1, Afar), to likely reposition its troops along areas of the Afar and Amhara regions bordering Tigray Region amid rising tensions with the TPLF/TDF. | 10. Other: Non-violent activity: Around 5 August 2026 (as reported), Fano (AFNM) claimed to have launched reconnaissance drones in Guna (Guna Begemider, South Gondar, Amhara). | 11. Other: Non-violent activity: Around 5 August 2026 (as reported), Fano (AFNM) claimed to have launched reconnaissance drones in Mertule Mariam (Enebse Sarmder, East Gojam, Amhara). | 12. Other: Non-violent activity: Around 5 August 2026 (as reported), Fano (AFNM) claimed to have launched reconnaissance drones in Qeyu Gariya (Raya Kobo, North Wello, Amhara). | 13. Other: On 6 August 2026, the TPLF-led Tigray Regional administration announced a directive granting amnesty to former Tigray Security Forces (TSF) members, ex-government employees, and youths who joined armed groups, provided they voluntarily return to civilian life. Under the directive, returnees who surrender their weapons must hand them over to regional authorities before reintegration. The amnesty applies to individuals accused of minor offenses, while those suspected of serious crimes remain subject to legal proceedings. The administration said individuals who joined armed groups voluntarily or were recruited 'through deception' would be allowed to return to their communities without repercussions. It added that an implementation manual has been approved to facilitate reintegration and livelihood support. The move comes amid rising tensions with the federal government and the Tigray Peace Force (TPF), an armed group formed by former Tigrayan commanders that has operated along the Tigray-Afar border since 2025 and says its objective is to remove the TPLF from power. Location coded to the regional capital, Mekele, Mekelle (Mekelle Tigray, Tigray). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 06-08-2026 | In East Wollega Zone of Oromia Region, OCHA reports of fighting over the past week between non -state armed groups and government security forces resulting in new displacements from rural areas | In East Wollega Zone of Oromia Region, OCHA reports of fighting over the past week between non -state armed groups and government security forces resulting in new displacements from rural areas toward Kiremu and Ayana towns. Significant damage to public infrastructure is reported due to the fighting , impacting more than 25,000 residents . Humanitarian organizations have also temporarily relocated staff to safer locations, seve rely constraining access to vulnerable communities and causing setbacks to humanitarian aid delivery . | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 03-08-2026 | Media sources report that hundreds of Ethiopians have been displaced due to ongoing clashes between Ethiopian armed forces and the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF ) in Shererina locality ( | Media sources report that hundreds of Ethiopians have been displaced due to ongoing clashes between Ethiopian armed forces and the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF ) in Shererina locality ( Western Tigray Zone ) on the border with Sudan . The TPLF claims that federal forces attacked the locality on Saturday, with an unknown numb er of casua lties. Relatedly, Sudan's interior ministry stated on Sunday, that indirect fire due to the clashes killed several people and injured others in refugee camps along the border with Ethiopia. The fighting comes as relations between the Ethip ioian federal government and the TPLF have deteriorated over recent months , with both parties accusing each other of failing to implement the 2022 peace agreement. | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 01-08-2026 | Conflict, climate shocks fuel displacement, hunger; underfunded aid hinders response | Ethiopia faces overlapping risks from armed conflict and political tensions across multiple regions, driving displacement, restricting access, and disrupting livelihoods. Severe climate shocks—drought in lowland areas and flooding elsewhere—combined with economic instability are worsening food insecurity and eroding household coping capacity. A fluid influx of refugees and asylum seekers, underfunded aid, and administrative and access constraints further strain host communities and hinder the humanitarian response. | Conflict | Medium concern | HDX Signals |
| 31-07-2026 | 39 Battles events in Ethiopia (-34% vs previous week) | 39 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 34% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 37 locations including Gutin, Mekdela, Abesken and 34 additional locations. These events resulted in 174 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 174 | ACLED |
| 31-07-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Tigray | Movement of forces: Around 31 July 2026 (end of month), TDF moved its Army 92 unit from Desia and deployed to Aragure, Enderta (South Eastern Tigray, Tigray), along areas bordering the Afar Regional State. The deployment occurred amid escalating tensions between the Federal Government and the TPLF from mid-July through August 2026. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-07-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Tigray | Movement of forces: Around 31 July 2026 (end of month), TDF deployed its Army 22 unit in Korem, Ofla, and other rural villages (location coded to Korem town, Korem (Southern Tigray, Tigray). The deployment occurred amid escalating tensions between the Federal Government and the TPLF from mid-July through August 2026. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-07-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Afar | Movement of forces: Around 31 July 2026 (end of month), TDF moved its Army 33 unit from Mecharie and deployed to Tonsa, Megale (Kibati-Zone 2, Afar), along the Tigray-Afar border. The deployment came amid escalating tensions between the Federal Government and the TPLF from mid-July through August 2026. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-07-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 31 July 2026 (as reported), Agew Shengo ethnic militia abducted and forcibly conscripted an unspecified number of male residents, including children under 18 years and 60-year-old elders, for military service in Abergele Woreda (location coded to the administrative center Nirak, Abergele, Wag Hamra, Amhara). In addition to forced military conscription, the perpetrators engaged in large-scale extortion, forcing the residents to contribute grains, money, or cattle for the Agew Shengo militia. Many youths were displaced to Sekota, fearing this military conscription. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-07-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 31 July 2026 (as reported), Agew Shengo ethnic militia abducted and forcibly conscripted an unspecified number of male residents, including children under 18 years and 60-year-old elders, for military service in Tsagbeji Woreda (location coded to the administrative center Tsata, Tsagbeji, Wag Hamra, Amhara). In addition to forced military conscription, the perpetrators engaged in large-scale extortion, forcing the residents to contribute grains, money, or cattle for the Agew Shengo militia. Many youths were displaced to Sekota, fearing this military conscription. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-07-2026 | Riots in Ethiopia, Addis Ababa | Around 31 July 2026 (as reported), residents threw stones at suspected Addis Ababa Police Officers and Kebele militias during a house demolition operation in Haile Garment neighborhood, Nifas Silk-Lafto, Nefas Silk (Region 14, Addis Ababa). The security forces opened fire and killed 2 people (fatalities uncorroborated) who opposed the demolition of their home. | Political | Fatalities: 2 | ACLED |
| 31-07-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Tigray | Movement of forces: Around 31 July 2026 (end of month), TDF deployed its Army 44 unit in Wajirat and surrounding areas (location coded to the nearby known village along the Tigray-Afar border, Saniale, Wajirat, South Eastern Tigray, Tigray). The deployment occurred amid escalating tensions between the Federal Government and the TPLF from mid-July through August 2026. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-07-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | Around 29 July 2026 (week of), Kebele militias rounded up and forcibly conscripted an unspecified number of youths, including daily laborers, in Sululta, Sululta town (Sheger City, formerly Finfine Special, Oromia). Similar campaigns were also conducted in Adama and Shashemene towns (coded separately). Sources mentioned that some of those forcibly conscripted youths bribed security agents in exchange for their release. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-07-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | Around 29 July 2026 (week of), Kebele militias rounded up and forcibly conscripted an unspecified number of youths, including daily laborers, in Adama, Adama town (East Shewa, Oromia). Similar campaigns were also conducted in Sululta and Shashemene towns (coded separately). Sources mentioned that some of those forcibly conscripted youths bribed security agents in exchange for their release. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-07-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 29 July 2026, an unidentified armed group abducted 5 civilians, including 1 Orthodox Christian, in Sagon (location coded to the admin center, Gobesa, Shirka, Arsi, Oromia). No further information. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-07-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | Around 29 July 2026 (week of), Kebele militias rounded up and forcibly conscripted an unspecified number of youths, including daily laborers, in Shashamane, Shashemene town (West Arsi, Oromia). Similar campaigns were also conducted in Sululta and Adama towns (coded separately). Sources mentioned that some of those forcibly conscripted youths bribed security agents in exchange for their release. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 24-07-2026 | 59 Battles events in Ethiopia (+146% vs previous week) | 59 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 146% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 33 locations including Feres Bet, Anjeni, Gelila and 30 additional locations. These events resulted in 164 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 164 | ACLED |
| 23-07-2026 | Authorities in Tigray warned yesterday that ongoing African Armyworm and Fall Armyworm infestations pose a major risk to the livelihoods and food security of approximately 900,000 smallholder farming | Authorities in Tigray warned yesterday that ongoing African Armyworm and Fall Armyworm infestations pose a major risk to the livelihoods and food security of approximately 900,000 smallholder farming households. Recent surveillance reports indicate that an estimated 3,588 hectares across multi ple zones have been affected, further weakening agricultural production systems already impacted by El Niño. | Political | UNOCC | |
| 21-07-2026 | According to OCHA, persistent insecurity and access challenges have left more that 62,000 IDPs in Oromia Region 's West Wollega Zone unable to safely return home following conflict -related | According to OCHA, persistent insecurity and access challenges have left more that 62,000 IDPs in Oromia Region 's West Wollega Zone unable to safely return home following conflict -related displacement that began in 2018. Notwithstanding the return or local integration of over 116,000 people , remaining IDPs and host communities face severe humanitarian gaps, including shortages in food, WASH, health, protection, livelihoods, and shelter. Appeals for increased support of life-saving assistance and the facilitation of safe, voluntary returns have been made . | Political, Social, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 20-07-2026 | Somalia Preliminary findings from an assessment undertaken earlier this month by the Somali regional government indicate that more than 82,000 people who migrated from central Somalia to Ethiopia | Somalia Preliminary findings from an assessment undertaken earlier this month by the Somali regional government indicate that more than 82,000 people who migrated from central Somalia to Ethiopia require immediate assistance, including 51,904 pastoralists travelling with livestock. OCHA has confirmed cross -border movements -largely attributed to prolonged dr ought conditions in Somalia -with unverified estimates of 9,450 families crossing from Buuhoodle, Galdogob, Gaalkacyo , and Caabud Waaq districts. There are reports of l imited support available amid increasing pressure on host communities' access to water and pasture. | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 17-07-2026 | 24 Battles events in Ethiopia (+26% vs previous week) | 24 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 26% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 17 locations including Anjeni, Feres Bet, Gelila and 14 additional locations. These events resulted in 78 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 78 | ACLED |
| 10-07-2026 | 19 Battles events in Ethiopia (unchanged vs previous week) | 19 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This is unchanged compared to the previous week, affecting 17 locations including Alem Ber, Sanja town, Abrahajara and 14 additional locations. These events resulted in 51 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 51 | ACLED |
| 03-07-2026 | 19 Battles events in Ethiopia (-73% vs previous week) | 19 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 73% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 18 locations including Agemsa, Addis Kidame, Bete Yohannes and 15 additional locations. These events resulted in 62 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 62 | ACLED |
| 01-07-2026 | OCHA describes continued insecurity in Afar Region following attacks by Tigrayan Security Forces in Megale District in mid -June that are believed to have resulted in some 9,000 people displaced (see | OCHA describes continued insecurity in Afar Region following attacks by Tigrayan Security Forces in Megale District in mid -June that are believed to have resulted in some 9,000 people displaced (see also UNOCC Daily of 26 June) . Reported clashes between Tigray and Afar security forces in nearby Abala District suggest a worrying escalation of hostilities, with affected pastoralist communities reporting significant livestock losses . | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 30-06-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Oromia | Movement of forces: On 30 June 2026, ENDF and Oromia Regional Police (anti-insurgency) patrol units arrived in Agemsa town, Amuru (Horo Gudru Wellega, Oromia), following an incursion by Fano militias into the town (coded separately). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-06-2026 | OCHA continues to support humanitarian efforts in East and West Hararghe zones , where compounding conflict and drought are increasing humanitarian needs in Oromia Region | OCHA continues to support humanitarian efforts in East and West Hararghe zones , where compounding conflict and drought are increasing humanitarian needs in Oromia Region . According to authorities, poor harvests have led to severe crop losses and food insecurity has increas ed across more than 23 districts . Compounding matters is i nter-communal violence along the Oromia -Somali border , which has also displaced over 9,000 people in Mieso . | Environmental, Political | UNOCC | |
| 30-06-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 30 June 2026, Fano attacked Migir and surrounding villages (location coded to the admin center, Amuru, Horo Gudru Wellega, Oromia) and Agemsa (coded separately). The perpetrators crossed into the Woreda from Haro Bajin in Kiramu Woreda, East Wellega Zone, and looted over 3000 cattle during the attack. Casualties unknown. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-06-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 29 June 2026, an unidentified armed group (likely OLF-OLA, given their known area of control and described as an armed group operating in Oromia's Guji zone and fighting against the government) opened fire at an ISUZU truck traveling from Burji to Bule Hora in Suro Berguda (location coded to Soyama Suro, between Burji and Bule Hora, West Guji, Oromia). The gunfire resulted in 1 truck driver being killed, while his assistant managed to escape from the scene. The truck crashed during the assault. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 29-06-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 29 June 2026, face-covered militants (likely TDF militias given the ongoing campaign by the armed group to conscript youths from across the region) rounded up and forcibly conscripted young people in Adi Gudem, Adigudom (South Eastern Tigray, Tigray). Mothers were seen crying as their children were taken away. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-06-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 29 June 2026, overnight, Tigray Security Forces (coded as TDF) abducted and forcibly conscripted hundreds of youths in Mekele (Mekelle Tigray, Tigray) and intensified the rounding up of youths across Tigray, forcibly taking them from the streets, their homes, workplaces, hotels, and places of worship to military training centers. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-06-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 June 2026, overnight, an unidentified armed group shot and killed 1 civilian (fatality uncorroborated) and abducted 3 others in Re'e Amba, Guna (Arsi, Oromia). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 27-06-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 27 June 2026 (as reported), suspected Fano members killed 9 Wello Oromo cattle herders (fatalities uncorroborated) in Jara (location coded to the admin center Chefa Robit, Artuma Fursi, Oromia, Amhara). The perpetrators, who originated from the Eferatana Gidem Woreda in the Amhara region, killed the victims, took many cattle, and returned to Efratana Gidem Woreda. | Conflict | Fatalities: 9 | ACLED |
| 27-06-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 27 June 2026, an unidentified armed group shot and killed a muslim Imam in Kebele 02 in Dangila (Dangila town, Awi, Amhara). The Muslim residents staged a peaceful protest in Dangila, claiming justice and accountability for the victim (coded separately). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 26-06-2026 | 70 Battles events in Ethiopia (+100% vs previous week) | 70 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 100% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 59 locations including Amanuel, Feres Bet, Aradu and 56 additional locations. These events resulted in 147 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 147 | ACLED |
| 26-06-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | Around 26 June 2026 (as reported), suspected Oromia Regional State Police shot and killed 1 truck driver (fatality uncorroborated) in Gelan town, Gelana (Shegger City, formerly Finfine Special, Oromia), after the truck accidentally hit a policeman riding a motorbike. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 26-06-2026 | OCHA reports that the security situation along the Ethiopia -Sudan border in Benishangul Gumuz Region has deteriorated following an attack on an Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) barrack in | OCHA reports that the security situation along the Ethiopia -Sudan border in Benishangul Gumuz Region has deteriorated following an attack on an Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) barrack in Gizen on June by an unidentified armed group (UAG), reportedly aided by Sudanese elements. Clashes between the ENDF and the UAG have since expanded, with hostilities reported further inland, causing several fatalities. Meanwhile, fighting in neighboring Blue Nile State in Sudan involving the S AF, RSF, an d Sudan People's Liberation Movement -North elements has spiked following a major offensive on 23 June with reports of SAF capturing strategic positions, just one kilometer from the Ethiopian border, increasing the risk of international conflict spillover. | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 26-06-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Tigray | Other: On 26 June 2026, the TPLF-led Pre-2020 war Tigray Regional Council implemented compulsory military mobilization amid renewed political and security challenges stemming from the 2022 Pretoria peace agreement. This proclamation mandates military service for eligible civilians during declared periods and penalizes evasion, desertion, or aiding others in avoiding conscription. It extends to media organizations, criminalizing reporting that may 'discourage' recruitment efforts, enabling fines and sanctions for violations. The law outlines wartime offenses, including sabotage and unauthorized disclosure of security information, with severe penalties ranging from long-term imprisonment to capital punishment for the most serious offenses. Rights groups, including Human Rights Watch, have called on Tigray authorities to amend or withdraw the proclamation, emphasizing that security measures must not infringe on fundamental freedoms and international human rights standards. Location coded to the regional capital, Mekele, Mekelle (Mekelle Tigray, Tigray). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 25-06-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 25 June 2026, an unidentified armed group shot and killed an Orthodox priest (fatality uncorroborated) in Bati (Bati Town, Oromia, Amhara). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 25-06-2026 | OCHA will engage regional authorities and partners to assess the situation and strengthen response coordination in Afar Region following report s that a 21 June attack by Tigray an Security Forces | OCHA will engage regional authorities and partners to assess the situation and strengthen response coordination in Afar Region following report s that a 21 June attack by Tigray an Security Forces displaced more than 9,000 people in Megale District . According to media reports, the incident also left at least t wo people dead and several injured, with the initial incursion in two villages subsequently spreading to six neighbouring villages. The security situation remains fluid. | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 24-06-2026 | Yellow fever - Global | Globally, in 2025 and early 2026, sylvatic yellow fever (YF) transmission in high-risk areas has been strongly influenced by rainfall, temperature and mosquito ecology. In 2025, the epidemiological situation was defined by sustained transmission in Africa and a notable rise in the Americas, including spread into lower‑risk zones. African Region : Twenty-six countries in the WHO African Region and one in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region are considered high-risk for YF as per EYE strategy classification. Of these 27 countries, 26 have introduced the yellow fever vaccine in their routine immunization schedule, however coverage in many countries remains below target with an average coverage of 65% across the region in 2024. Since 2023, eight countries with no recent activity have detected new cases, indicating viral circulation in areas with low vaccination coverage and limited surveillance capacity. In 2025, two outbreaks were recorded (in Angola and in Central African Republic) along with several events that required emergency vaccination. From January to May 2026, 16 confirmed cases were reported in three countries (Burkina Faso, Central African Republic and Cameroon), with additional suspected cases under investigation reported in five countries (Angola, Côte d’Ivoire, Gabon, Ghana, and Nigeria). Most infections are linked to ongoing sylvatic transmission spilling over into rural, under‑immunized communities. Recurrent events are straining health systems and increasing the risk of cross‑border spread. Region of the Americas: All 13 countries at high-risk for YF as per EYE strategy classification include the vaccine in their routine immunization, but coverage varies widely. After limited activity in 2024, transmission expanded sharply in 2025, including into areas that had not reported cases for decades. The region recorded 241 cases and 100 deaths between late 2024 and early 2025, an eightfold increase from the previous year. From January to May 2026, six countries (Bolivia, Brazil, Colombia, Ecuador, Peru, and Venezuela) reported 79 confirmed cases, with Colombia most affected due to sylvatic exposure and travel by unvaccinated visitors. Ecological suitability for mosquito vectors, uneven vaccination coverage, increased human mobility, and the expansion of urban areas into forested environments continue to facilitate viral transmission. Other Regions: In regions outside Africa and the Americas, the risk of YF is primarily associated with imported cases, as no established local transmission cycles are present. Many countries require proof of vaccination for travellers from at‑risk areas. No imported cases were detected in 2025–2026, but ongoing transmission elsewhere, expanding vector habitats, rapid urbanization, and high international mobility mean the risk of introduction persists. The impact of any imported case would depend on rapid detection and the ability to respond effectively in areas where competent mosquito vectors are present. | Social | WHO | |
| 24-06-2026 | Tensions in Tigray have escalated following a 6 June drone strike on a Tigray Security Forces convoy, deepening mistrust between the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) ‑led administration and | Tensions in Tigray have escalated following a 6 June drone strike on a Tigray Security Forces convoy, deepening mistrust between the Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) ‑led administration and the Federal 2 Government (see also UNOCC Daily of 9 June) . The political environment has been further strained by allegations of federal military build ‑up and increasingly confrontational rhetoric. Against this backdrop, OHCHR documented at least 149 cases of forced recruitment by TPLF , including at least nine women, and related arbitrary detentions. Together with last week's announced US visa restrictions on TPLF leaders, OHCHR notes concerns regarding due process, civic space and the broader risk of further escalation. | Environmental, Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 19-06-2026 | 35 Battles events in Ethiopia (+94% vs previous week) | 35 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 94% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 33 locations including Filakit, Goro, Ajebar and 30 additional locations. These events resulted in 143 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 143 | ACLED |
| 15-06-2026 | Road in Ethiopia | Deaths: 28; Location: Amhara region; DisNo: 2026-0385-ETH; Event_Start: 2026-06-15; EMDAT_Last_Update: 2026-06-22 | Technological | EMDAT | |
| 12-06-2026 | 18 Battles events in Ethiopia (-86% vs previous week) | 18 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 86% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 16 locations including Gambella, Hamusit, Arjo and 13 additional locations. These events resulted in 104 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 104 | ACLED |
| 09-06-2026 | According to OCHA, a drone strike impacting near Shiraro Town (Tigray Region ) this past Saturday prompted civilian displacement and has sharply escalated tensions between government forces and | According to OCHA, a drone strike impacting near Shiraro Town (Tigray Region ) this past Saturday prompted civilian displacement and has sharply escalated tensions between government forces and Tigrayan Security Forces (TSF) . Humanitarian and agricultural efforts have been disrupted amid a reported mobilization of TSF elements and accounts of forced conscription. | Political | UNOCC | |
| 09-06-2026 | Battles, insurgent attacks, abductions, and protests intensify across multiple regions | - Amhara saw widespread fighting between ENDF/allied forces and Fano militias across North and South Wello, North Shewa, Central and South Gondar, West/East Gojam, and Awi, driven by government operations and Fano ambushes over control of towns, checkpoints, and supply routes, with reported drone and artillery use. - In Tigray, Tigray Peace Forces moved into areas formerly held by ENDF and opposition actors announced plans to replace the TPLF-led administration, while TDF was accused of forced recruitment and abductions and clashed with local militias near the Amhara frontier, including around Alamata, Tselemt, Adigrat/Axum, and Humera. - In Oromia and Benshangul/Gumuz, OLF-OLA attacks and security operations, unidentified abductions targeting transport and farms, and a Gumuz Liberation Front bus attack drove violence in West Hararge, West/North Shewa, Arsi, Horo Gudru, and Metekel; ethnic Sidama–Oromo clashes over territorial and administrative border disputes spread from Gubo Hema in Guji into Sidama, while protests by injured veterans in Bishoftu and Adama demanded promised land/benefits and residents in Habru protested a checkpoint killing, as police in Guraghe made arrests linked to ethnic-based attacks. | Conflict | Medium concern | HDX Signals |
| 05-06-2026 | 17 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (up from 3 previous week) | 17 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This is up from 3 events in the previous week, affecting 16 locations including Kebe, Addis Ababa, Alem Teferi and 13 additional locations. List of events: 1. Other: Non-violent activity: On 30 May 2026, OLF-OLA claimed to have halted traffic (by unspecified means) on the Ethio-Djibouti road at an unspecified location in Boset (coded to the admin center of Welenchiti town, Welenchiti, East Shewa, Oromia). The armed group said the measure was part of its campaign to disrupt the national election. | 2. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 31 May 2026, ENDF and Kebele militias withdrew from Kebe, Gawo Kebe (Kellem Wollega, Oromia), to reinforce security operations in Dambi Dollo town ahead of Election Day. | 3. Looting/property destruction: Looting: On 1 June 2026, a suspected OLF-OLA looted the Kara Kuftena Medhane Alem Orthodox Church and destroyed civilian houses near Aseko town, Aseko (Arsi, Oromia). Eyewitnesses accused OLF-OLA of repeatedly attacking residents in the area. Both OLF-OLA and the Ethiopian government accused each other of the attack. The incident drew widespread condemnation from the Ethiopian Orthodox Church, the Islamic Supreme Council, political parties, and civil society organizations, which demanded the protection of civilians and religious institutions, accountability, and justice. The Ethiopian PM Abiy condemned the attack and accused OLF-OLA, saying the attacks were 'part of a broader effort to create instability, undermine public security and disrupt Ethiopia's 7th election.' OLA, on its side, denied the accusation, stating that these attacks are orchestrated by 'government-trained OLA'. | 4. Other: Elections/referendum: On 1 June 2026, over 40 million Ethiopians cast ballots in the 7th General Election across all Regional States of Ethiopia, except the Tigray Region, out of over 50 million registered voters. The National Election Board of Ethiopia (NEBE) said voting could not take place at 143 polling stations due to security concerns and that voting was rescheduled and held over the next few days. The ruling Prosperity Party secured 438 of the 486 seats in the House of People's Representatives (HoPRs), enough to form the next government under Ethiopia's electoral system, in which the party that wins the majority of seats in the HoPRs is mandated to establish the federal government. The results account for roughly 90% of the contested seats. EZEMA won 13 seats in the HoPRs and 73 Regional Council seats, with other opposition parties winning the rest. Location coded to the capital city, Addis Ababa, Lideta (Region 14, Addis Ababa). | 5. Change to group/activity: Security measures: On 1 June 2026, the Amhara regional administration (coded as the Government of Ethiopia) ordered a road closure banning all vehicles from moving in the Amhara region (location coded to the admin center, Bahir Dar, Bahir Dar town, West Gojam, Amhara). The curfew order is issued to enable the peaceful conduct of the general election held on 1 June 2026. | 6. Non-violent transfer of territory: On 1 June 2026, OLF-OLA entered Haro Sebu, also known as Alem Teferi, Dale Sadi (Kellem Wollega, Oromia), following the withdrawal of the government forces. No clashes reported. | 7. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 1 June 2026, OLF-OLA destroyed the compound of the Butule Sheik Mustefa Mosque and burned more than 200 civilian houses (mostly belonging to Orthodox Christian residents) in Biyo, Aseko (West Shewa, Oromia), and in the villages of Chefa Kuyo, Kara Ametu, Kara Dibu, Tatiye, and Bati (coded separately). | 8. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 1 June 2026, suspected OLF-OLA burned down more than 200 civilian houses (mostly belonging to Orthodox Christian residents) in Chefa Kuyo, Aseko (Arsi, Oromia), and in the villages of Kara Ametu, Kara Dibu, Biyo, Tatiye, and Bati (coded separately). | 9. Non-violent transfer of territory: On 1 June 2026, OLF-OLA entered Gaba Robi, Hawa Galan (Kellem Wellega, Oromia), following the withdrawal of the government forces. No clashes reported. | 10. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 1 June 2026, suspected OLF-OLA burned down more than 200 civilian houses (mostly belonging to Orthodox Christian residents) in Kara Ametu, Aseko (Arsi, Oromia), and in the villages of Chefa Kuyo, Kara Dibu, Biyo, Tatiye, and Bati (coded separately). | 11. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 1 June 2026, suspected OLF-OLA burned down more than 200 civilian houses (mostly belonging to Orthodox Christian residents) in Kara Dibu, Aseko (Arsi, Oromia), and in the villages of Chefa Kuyo, Kara Ametu, Biyo, Tatiye, and Bati (coded separately). | 12. Non-violent transfer of territory: On 1 June 2026, OLF-OLA entered Kebe town, Gawo Kebe (Kellem Wellega, Oromia), following the withdrawal of government forces to reinforce security operations ahead of the 7th national election (coded separately). No clashes reported. | 13. Non-violent transfer of territory: On 1 June 2026, OLF-OLA entered unspecified villages in Yama Logi Welel (location coded to the admin center of Tejo, Kellem Wellega, Oromia), following the withdrawal of the government forces. No clashes reported. | 14. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 1 June 2026, suspected OLF-OLA burned down more than 200 civilian houses (mostly belonging to Orthodox Christian residents) in Tatiye and Bati (location coded to the nearby known town, Teleta Chefa, Aseko, Arsi, Oromia), and in the villages of Kara Ametu, Chefa Kuyo, Kara Dibu, Biyo, Tatiye, and Bati (coded separately). | 15. Agreement: Around 2 June 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members surrendered along with their weapons to the ENDF in Asagirt (Assagirt, North Shewa, Amhara). | 16. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 3 June 2026 (week of), senior Fano militia (AFNM) leaders, along with other Fano militias, were seen in Bagin, Kiremu (East Wellega, Oromia), gathering for a meeting. | 17. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 3 June 2026, ENDF reinforcements arrived in Golije town, Heban Arsi (West Arsi, Oromia), to bolster the Oromia regional forces engaged against the OLF-OLA in the area (coded separately). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 05-06-2026 | 132 Battles events in Ethiopia (+288% vs previous week) | 132 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 288% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 126 locations including Adet, Kelela, Kiremu and 123 additional locations. These events resulted in 233 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 233 | ACLED |
| 05-06-2026 | OHCHR describes a broad pattern inter‑communal and religious violence in parts of Oromia Region | OHCHR describes a broad pattern inter‑communal and religious violence in parts of Oromia Region. Noting that widely circulated casualty figures remain unverified , corraborated reports refer to killings, abductions, house burnings and church destruction in East and Horogoduru Wollega and parts of Arsi Zone . | Technological | UNOCC | |
| 02-06-2026 | Parliamentary and regional elections took place yesterday , with partial suspensions reported in Amhara, Oromia and Tigray regions due to security concerns | Parliamentary and regional elections took place yesterday , with partial suspensions reported in Amhara, Oromia and Tigray regions due to security concerns. The National Electoral Board and media sources describe irregularities and a Prosperity Party majority is anticipated, pending the 11 June release of official results (see also UNOCC Daily of 29 May) . | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 31-05-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Afar | On 31 May 2026, suspected TDF militias opened fire and killed 2 young boys (both members of the Afar ethnic group) who were herding cattle in Hida, Megale (Kilbati-Zone 2, Afar), and looted their cattle. | Conflict | Fatalities: 2 | ACLED |
| 31-05-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 31 May 2026, overnight, suspected OLF-OLA abducted and killed 2 Orthodox Christians, who were members of the same family, in Mitanagado, Shirka (Arsi, Oromia). The armed group also looted the properties and cattle of the victims. Eyewitnesses accused OLF-OLA of repeatedly attacking residents in the area. Both OLF-OLA and the Ethiopian government accused each other of the attack. The incident drew widespread condemnation from the Ethiopian Orthodox Church, the Islamic Supreme Council, political parties, and civil society organizations, which demanded the protection of civilians and religious institutions, accountability, and justice. The Ethiopian PM Abiy condemned the attack and accused OLF-OLA, saying the attacks were 'part of a broader effort to create instability, undermine public security and disrupt Ethiopia's 7th election.' OLA, on its side, denied the accusation, stating that these attacks are orchestrated by 'government-trained OLA'. | Conflict | Fatalities: 2 | ACLED |
| 30-05-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 30 May 2026, an unidentified armed group threw a hand bomb towards university students in Gondar (Gonder town, Central Gondar, Amhara), killing 3 and wounding around 35 students. The bomb exploded in a hall where students at Gondar University College of Medicine and Health Science were watching a football match on a screen. | Conflict | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 30-05-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 30 May 2026, the day of the UEFA Champions League final, the TDF Army 11 unit conducted forced recruitment between 10:00 pm and 11:00 pm local time, violently rounding up youths and forcibly abducting an unspecified number of youths from DSTV viewing centers, bars, and bingo halls in Zana town, Zana (North Western Tigray, Tigray), where they had gathered, and forced them to spend the night locked in five classrooms of a local school. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-05-2026 | 34 Battles events in Ethiopia (-49% vs previous week) | 34 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 49% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 31 locations including Debre Birhan, Hamesho Borena, Harenfama and 28 additional locations. These events resulted in 199 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 199 | ACLED |
| 29-05-2026 | OCHA describes escalating violence in northern Ethiopia, with clashes ongoing since April in the Amhara Region , where government forces have engaged the so -called Agew Democratic Movement armed | OCHA describes escalating violence in northern Ethiopia, with clashes ongoing since April in the Amhara Region , where government forces have engaged the so -called Agew Democratic Movement armed group that is reportedly supported by Tigray-aligned elements . Nearly 45,000 people across Wag Hamra Zone are believed to have been displaced ( see also UNOCC Daily of 26 May ). | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 29-05-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 29 May 2026, gunmen (likely Fano, mentioned as 'infiltrated gunmen') shot and killed the head of Angot Woreda Prosperity Party office in Ahun Tegegn (Gazo, North Wello, Amhara). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 29-05-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Oromia | Non-violent activity: On 29 May 2026, OLF-OLA declared a total ban on all transport and movement across Oromia from 29 May 2026 until 4 June, except 'designated ambulances' operating under explicit humanitarian protocols. It warned that any breach of this ban would result in 'immediate and decisive consequences'. I also advised all members of the diplomatic corps currently in the capital to suspend, without exception, any travel to or within Oromia for election-related observations for the duration of this week. Location coded to the center of the region, Adama town, Adama (East Shewa, Oromia). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-05-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Security measures: On 28 May 2026, Fano (AFNM) issued a road closure order banning all vehicles (except ambulances) from moving on all types of roads in the Amhara region (location coded to the admin center, Bahir Dar, Bahir Dar town, West Gojam, Amhara). The curfew will be effective for 5 consecutive days from 29 May 2026 to 2 June 2026. The curfew order is a continuation of Fano's opposition to the general election planned to be conducted on 1 June 2026. The regional government declined Fano's curfew order and indicated that the roads would remain open to the public as usual. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-05-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, South Ethiopia Region | On 28 May 2026, an unidentified armed group that crossed from the West Guji zone of Oromia publicly stripped three girls in Jejolla (Amaro, South Ethiopia Region), forcing them to walk barefoot and naked after the perpetrators confiscated the victims' clothes. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-05-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 May 2026, unknown gunmen (coded as an unidentified armed group) opened fire on a public bus traveling from Amhara to Addis Ababa at Tulu Milki, Wara Jarso (North Shewa, Oromia), killing 7-8 passengers and wounding 10 others. The armed group also abducted more than 40 other passengers. | Conflict | Fatalities: 7 | ACLED |
| 27-05-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, South Ethiopia Region | On 27 May 2026, an unidentified armed group that crossed from the West Guji zone of Oromia shot and killed 1 farmer in Gamole Kebele (Karat Zuria, Konso, South Ethiopia Region). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 26-05-2026 | Inter-communal violence and civilian displacement along Sidama -Oromia border | Inter-communal violence and civilian displacement along Sidama -Oromia border . | Political | UNOCC | |
| 22-05-2026 | 67 Battles events in Ethiopia (+97% vs previous week) | 67 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 97% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 39 locations including Harenfama, Gubo Hema, Oda Kelecha and 36 additional locations. These events resulted in 186 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 186 | ACLED |
| 21-05-2026 | Intercommunal clashes this past Tuesday between Sidama and Oromo communities along the border of Sidama and Oromia regions reportedly caused dozens of deaths and displace d hundreds of people | Intercommunal clashes this past Tuesday between Sidama and Oromo communities along the border of Sidama and Oromia regions reportedly caused dozens of deaths and displace d hundreds of people. Local authorities attributed the violence to entrenched disputes over administrative boundaries, land ownership, and grazing access. | Political | UNOCC | |
| 19-05-2026 | Clashes between the SAF and RSF along the Sudanese border have prompted the Ethiopian National Defence Forces (ENDF) to issue an evacuation directive for the resident s of Kurmuk town (Benishangul - | Clashes between the SAF and RSF along the Sudanese border have prompted the Ethiopian National Defence Forces (ENDF) to issue an evacuation directive for the resident s of Kurmuk town (Benishangul - Gumuz Region) last Friday (see also UNOCC Daily of 12 May) . This followed reports of an ENDF -RSF buildup and SAF advancing across the Blue Nile border . The clashes also led an international NGO to relocate its staff to Assosa, the regional capital . | Technological | UNOCC | |
| 15-05-2026 | 34 Battles events in Ethiopia (+10% vs previous week) | 34 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 10% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 32 locations including Gebeze Mariam, Kobo, Akesta and 29 additional locations. These events resulted in 109 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 109 | ACLED |
| 14-05-2026 | Earthquake in Ethiopia — near 5.06, 36.84 | Earthquake in Ethiopia Magnitude 4.7M, Depth:10km Minor Impact. Alert: Green. Magnitude: 4.7. | Environmental | Green | GDACS |
| 08-05-2026 | 31 Battles events in Ethiopia (-28% vs previous week) | 31 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 28% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 23 locations including Negade Bahr, Albuko, Arbit and 20 additional locations. These events resulted in 83 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 83 | ACLED |
| 05-05-2026 | OCHA reports that the distribution of food assistance resumed last week in Tigray Region, targeting 900,205 beneficiaries across 51 districts | OCHA reports that the distribution of food assistance resumed last week in Tigray Region, targeting 900,205 beneficiaries across 51 districts. Assistance was suspended in early March due to fuel shortage, with conditions slightly improving following agreements with donors and transporters to source fuel from alternative marke ts. | Political | UNOCC | |
| 01-05-2026 | 43 Battles events in Ethiopia (+10% vs previous week) | 43 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 10% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 36 locations including Asketema, Aykel, Ayna and 33 additional locations. These events resulted in 122 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 122 | ACLED |
| 30-04-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Other: On 30 April 2026, a member of the Ethiopian security forces (likely Kebele militia, mentioned as Ethiopian authorities and from the context) fired gunshots in Aftit Refugee Settlement (Metema, West Gondar, Amhara). The gunfire was made to enforce the arrest of the volunteer inside the Aftit refugee camp, likely in connection with the deteriorating security situation inside the camp. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-04-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 29 April 2026, suspected ENDF soldiers killed 3 and wounded 1 civilian (fatalities uncorroborated) at an unspecified place near Ayna (Bugna, North Wello, Amhara). The victims were heading for the St. George's day commemoration/celebration when they were attacked by the ENDF in retaliation for clashing with Fano (AFNM) at a nearby place (coded separately). | Conflict | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 29-04-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 29 April 2026, suspected OLF-OLA killed 1 civilian (fatality uncorroborated) and abducted 7 others in Sedika, Robe (Arsi, Oromia). The armed group selectively targeted Orthodox Christian residents and released the abducted individuals after receiving a 6 million birr ransom. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 29-04-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 29 April 2026, a suspected member of Amhara regional riot police shot and killed a minibus driver at an unspecified place between Dessie and Gerado (Dessie town, South Wello, Amhara). The victim was driving a minibus with passengers, and the perpetrator accused him of failing to stop when the perpetrator requested a ride. The Dessie town police administration confirmed that the perpetrator has been apprehended, but denied that he is a member of the regional riot police. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 29-04-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 29 April 2026 (as reported), Fano militia members that were operating in Tach Gayint Woreda and its surroundings surrendered to the ENDF in Arb Gebeya (Tach Gayint, South Gondar, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-04-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Benshangul/Gumuz | On 29 April 2026, suspected SAF forces carried out three successive air strikes in Kirmuk (Kurmuk, Asosa, Benshangul/Gumuz), killing 6 civilians (fatalities uncorroborated). The Sudanese military planes were observed in the sky, followed by three successive strikes against civilians near a health clinic and military camp. | Conflict | Fatalities: 6 | ACLED |
| 29-04-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Weapons seizure: Around 29 April 2026 (as reported), ENDF claimed that its forces recovered and seized large amounts of ammunition that it claimed Fano had buried in the ground near Kobo (Kobo town, North Wello, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-04-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Central Ethiopia | On 29 April 2026, overnight, Mareko ethnic militia killed 5 individuals, including 4 members of the same family (a mother and her 3 children), in Ayer Tena in 02 Kebele in Inseno (Misrak Meskan, Guraghe, Central Ethiopia). The victims were shot in their residential houses. Motivation unknown. | Conflict | Fatalities: 5 | ACLED |
| 29-04-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 29 April 2026, an OLF-OLA Brigade Commander from Western Oromia, known by the nickname Jaal Qaanqee, peacefully surrendered to the ENDF at an unspecified location in Western Oromia (coded to Gidami, Gidami, where the armed group has a stronghold in Kellem Wellega, Oromia). Sources stated that his surrender followed a disagreement with OLF-OLA Commander, Jal Maro, over internal power struggles and issues related to alliances. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-04-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Benshangul/Gumuz | Movement of forces: On 29 April 2026, RSF militia members were seen operating inside the Ethiopian border in Kumruk Woreda (location coded to the nearest known town, Kirmuk, Kurmuk, Asosa, Benshangul/Gumuz). The residents accused RSF members of harassing local residents and of taking food items without payment. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 24-04-2026 | 39 Battles events in Ethiopia (+144% vs previous week) | 39 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 144% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 28 locations including Nirak, Mekane Selam, Chefa Robit and 25 additional locations. These events resulted in 145 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 145 | ACLED |
| 21-04-2026 | Drought in Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda — near 8.87, 38.09 | Drought in Djibouti, Eritrea, Ethiopia, Kenya, Sudan, Somalia, South Sudan, Uganda Medium impact for agricultural drought in 752713 km2 Significant Impact. Alert: Orange. | Environmental | Orange | GDACS |
| 17-04-2026 | 16 Battles events in Ethiopia (-43% vs previous week) | 16 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 43% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 15 locations including Mekane Selam, Abekat, Debre Birhan and 12 additional locations. These events resulted in 48 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 48 | ACLED |
| 14-04-2026 | OCHA reports a severe fuel shortage in Tigray Region which has caused humanitarian partners to halt the distribution of food rations to about 900,000 people -most of them IDPs-during March and April | OCHA reports a severe fuel shortage in Tigray Region which has caused humanitarian partners to halt the distribution of food rations to about 900,000 people -most of them IDPs-during March and April . OCHA notes that the growing backlog in food distribution caused by ongoing fuel shortages is deepening food insecurity across the region . Benin Following voting on Sunday , Benin 's Constitutional Court confirmed the victory of the ruling coalition ticket led by incumbent President Wadagni. OHCHR reports that the results were announced without major incidents and largely accepted by institutional stakeholders. However, opposition actors, including Les Démocrates -who were excluded from the elections -reiterated concerns over inclusivity and credibility of the electoral framework. OHCHR notes that l ow voter turnout nationwide, particularly in urban centres, shows limited public engagement and confidence in the non-inclusive process. | Political | UNOCC | |
| 10-04-2026 | 28 Battles events in Ethiopia (-36% vs previous week) | 28 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 36% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 24 locations including Feres Bet, Mehal Meda, Tsehay Mewcha and 21 additional locations. These events resulted in 123 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 123 | ACLED |
| 03-04-2026 | 44 Battles events in Ethiopia (+91% vs previous week) | 44 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 91% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 39 locations including Ayna, Meket, Mer Awi and 36 additional locations. These events resulted in 159 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 159 | ACLED |
| 31-03-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 31 March 2026, suspected ENDF soldiers shelled (with cannon) a Mosque in Zigba 01 Kebele in Jama Woreda (location coded to the admin center Degolo, South Wello, Amhara). The shelling occurred while civilians were conducting a prayer and other religious activities in the mosque. There were no fatalities. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-03-2026 | 2 Further to the escalation of fighting in Amhara Region, an OCHA -led mission to South Gondar Zone on 16 | 2 Further to the escalation of fighting in Amhara Region, an OCHA -led mission to South Gondar Zone on 16 | Political | UNOCC | |
| 31-03-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 31 March 2026 (as reported), Fano abducted four civilians at an unspecified place in Mecha Woreda (location coded to the admin center Mer Awi, Merawi town, West Gojam, Amhara). The Fano was demanding 400,000 ETB as a ransom for each victim when the ENDF soldiers arrived and clashed with the Fano, finally freeing the four victims from abduction (coded separately). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-03-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Tigray | Change to armed group: Around 30 March 2026 (end of month), the TPLF restructured its Tigray Defense Force (TDF) into four command fronts: East, West, North, and South Commands. These fronts include twelve army divisions, and the previous commanders have been reshuffled and assigned to each front. Tigray Interim Regional Administration President Lt. Gen. Tadesse Worede has been named the supreme commander overseeing all fronts. The restructuring aims to centralize command and control of all divisions under the TPLF, preventing each TDF command unit from acting without orders from the Central Command, and thereby ensuring fighters receive salaries from the regional administration. The regional security council, made up of senior TPLF leaders and military commanders and led by Chairman Debretsion Gebremichael, is responsible for major political and military decisions. The new restructuring occurred amid increasing concerns over a potential renewed conflict with the federal government. The location was coded to the regional capital, Mekele, Mekelle (Mekelle Tigray, Tigray). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-03-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | Around 30 March 2026 (as reported), suspected government forces (likely Oromia Regional State Police and Kebele militias due to their jurisdiction and place of the victim's arrest) shot and killed 1 youth (fatalities uncorroborated) near Kachise, Ginde Beret (West Shewa, Oromia). The forces took the victim out of prison in Kashisi before torturing and killing him. He was initially arrested on suspicion of providing 'logistics' to OLF-OLA. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 30-03-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 30 March 2026, Fano (AFNM) shot and killed the head of Debay Telatgen Woreda Prosperity Party Youth League in Kuy (Debay Telatgen, East Gojam, Amhara). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 30-03-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | Around 30 March 2026 (as reported), suspected OLF-OLA killed a branch manager of Siinke Bank at an unspecified place in Meta Robi (location coded to the admin center, Shino, West Shewa, Oromia). There is no clear information about the circumstances of his death. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 30-03-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 30 March 2026, ENDF conducted an airstrike against Fano militia positions at an unspecified location in Sibu Sire (coded to the admin center, Sire town, East Wollega, Oromia), and in Gudaya Bila (coded separately). Casualties unknown. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-03-2026 | OHCHR report s that fighting escalated in Amhara Region on 26 March as Fano militias clashed with Ethiopian National Defense Force s (ENDF ), with Fano claiming extensive territorial control that | OHCHR report s that fighting escalated in Amhara Region on 26 March as Fano militias clashed with Ethiopian National Defense Force s (ENDF ), with Fano claiming extensive territorial control that federal authorities refuted. In Oromia Region , the Oromo Liberation Army expanded operations following ENDF withdrawals, including a 26 March clash in West Wollega that killed a district police commander and disrupted humanitarian access. Separately, large public protests took place on 24 March in Tigray Region over the federal government's failure to release subsidies, leaving civil servants unpaid for 17 months . Reports of a potential federal agreement to pay salaries remain unconfirmed. | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 30-03-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 30 March 2026, suspected ENDF conducted an airstrike against Fano militia positions at an unspecified location in Gudeya Bila, formerly Bila Seyo (location coded to the admin center, Bila town, East Wollega, Oromia), and in Sibu Sire (coded separately). Casualties unknown. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-03-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 30 March 2026, Fano (AFNM) shot and killed the head of Wejel town Prosperity Party Youth League in Wejel (Awabel, East Gojam, Amhara). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 30-03-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 30 March 2026, Fano (AFNM) claimed to have abducted the election officers coordinator in Bahre Giyorgis Azezo in Goncha Siso Enebse Woreda (location coded to the admin center Gindewoin, Goncha Siso Enebse, East Gojam, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 27-03-2026 | 23 Battles events in Ethiopia (-8% vs previous week) | 23 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 8% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 21 locations including Kangaten, Kuy, Amicha Weha and 18 additional locations. These events resulted in 116 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 116 | ACLED |
| 20-03-2026 | 11 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (-15% vs previous week) | 11 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 15% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 10 locations including Gundo Meskel, Alibo, Aykel and 7 additional locations. List of events: 1. Agreement: Around 14 March 2026 (as reported), a group of Fano militia, along with its leader, who had been operating in Arati and Mergech in East Gojam, peacefully surrendered to ENDF at an unspecified place in Dera (location coded to the admin center, Gundo Meskel, North Shewa, Oromia). | 2. Other: On 15 March 2026, Fano (AFNM) issued a warning against political parties, civil society organizations, media, religious leaders, and other institutions from participating in the upcoming general election in the Amhara region (location coded to the administrative center Bahir Dar, Bahir Dar town, West Gojam, Amhara). Fano indicated that it considers all actors participating in the election, in any capacity, as 'enemies of the Amhara people' and will treat them on equal footing with the federal government of Ethiopia. Peace for Ethiopia, a national NGO in Ethiopia, rejected Fano's warning as 'improper'. | 3. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 15 March 2026 (month of), the Ethiopian Federal government mobilized and deployed more ENDF soldiers near Chercher, Chercher (Southern Tigray, Tigray). The ENDF troops were positioned on hills just 10 kilometers from Chercher and 23 kilometers from its main army base. The recent mobilizations and troop deployments prompted several residents to flee their homes amid fears of renewed conflict. | 4. Looting/property destruction: Looting: Around 15 March 2026 (month of), Fano was accused of looting 120 quintals of food destined for a public school in Choke in Bibugn Woreda (location coded to the admin center, Digo Tsion, Bibugn, East Gojam, Amhara). The ENDF claimed to have seized or returned the looted food from Fano around 26 July 2026. | 5. Change to group/activity: Change to armed group: On 17 March 2026, 6 Amhara regional riot police and 2 suspected Kebele militia members defected, along with their weapons, and joined Fano (AFNM) in Eastern Amhara (location coded to Weldiya, Woldiya town, North Wello, Amhara). | 6. Agreement: Around 17 March 2026 (as reported), Fano forces operating in Chilga and its surroundings surrendered to the ENDF in Chilga Woreda (location coded to the admin center Aykel, Aykel town, Central Gondar, Amhara). | 7. Other: Around 17 March 2026 (as reported), ENDF seized 136 jerrycans of gasoline and car engine oil destined for Fano between Debre Tabor and Wereta (Woreta town, South Gondar, Amhara). Two people who were transporting the fuel in an Isuzu truck were arrested by the ENDF. | 8. Arrests: On 18 March 2026, suspected Tigray Regional Police (described as security personnel dressed in civilian clothes and driving an unregistered vehicle) arrested the Director and journalist of the Tigray Mass Media Agency (TMMA) in Mekele, Mekelle (Mekelle, Tigray). The Tigray TV station confirmed that the journalist was detained, taken from his location by members of the Tigray Police, and is currently held at the Tigray Police Commission. The journalist is charged with 'spreading information that incites the public on social media,' and on 2 April 2026, Mekelle Aydar Sub-City Court decided to release him on a bail of 50,000 birr. | 9. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 18 March 2026 (as reported), a large number of suspected Fano militias were observed gathering in Shukullee, near Alibo, Jarte Jardega (Horo Gudru Wellega, Oromia). | 10. Other: Displacement: Around 18 March 2026 (week of), over 200 civilians, mostly members of the Oromo, Gedeo, and other ethnic groups who lived in Layee, were displaced and arrived in Moyale town, Moyale (Borena, Oromia). The residents fled their homes out of fear of potential retaliatory attacks by ethnic Somalis after a Somali herder was killed in the area (coded separately). | 11. Agreement: Around 20 March 2026 (as reported), Fano forces operating in Majete and Merabete Woredas surrendered to the ENDF in Dera Woreda (location coded to the admin center Gundo Meskel, North Shewa, Oromia). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 20-03-2026 | 25 Battles events in Ethiopia (+178% vs previous week) | 25 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 178% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 25 locations including Abey Yegorba, Abomsa, Alenu Shinkura and 22 additional locations. These events resulted in 99 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 99 | ACLED |
| 19-03-2026 | Since 1 February, a ccording to OHCHR, Ethiopian security forces in Amhara region have arbitrarily detained 130 men accused of supporting F ANO militias | Since 1 February, a ccording to OHCHR, Ethiopian security forces in Amhara region have arbitrarily detained 130 men accused of supporting F ANO militias . The accused have not been charged, given legal representation or brought before a court ; in addition, OHCHR has repeatedly been denied access to the detainees. Similar concerns have been reported in Afar region, where 23 people have been held without explanation and without a court appearance. In Gambella region, meanwhile, at least 100 houses were 2 allegedly destroyed in counter -insurgency operations against Oromo Liberation Army combatants over the past three weeks . | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 16-03-2026 | OCHA reports increased c asualties resulting from flooding and landslides that impacted Ethiopia's Gamo Zone , in the Southern Region , on 9 March ; estimates of civilian displacement have also | OCHA reports increased c asualties resulting from flooding and landslides that impacted Ethiopia's Gamo Zone , in the Southern Region , on 9 March ; estimates of civilian displacement have also risen, from 4,500 to over 16,000. Humanitarian partners have been invited to discussions about how to further strengthen response efforts across seven districts. | Environmental | UNOCC | |
| 13-03-2026 | 13 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (-19% vs previous week) | 13 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 19% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 13 locations including Agemsa, Akaki Kality, Alibo and 10 additional locations. List of events: 1. Arrests: On 7 March 2026, security officers (likely Federal Police forces based on the location and the context) arrested a female political opposition candidate from the Alliance or Coalition for Ethiopian Unity (CEU) and a member of the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Party (EPRP) for the Addis Ababa City Council in Akaki Kality sub-city, Akaki-Kalit (Region 14, Addis Ababa). EPRP condemned the arrest and stated that the government's action is aimed at pushing CEU away from peaceful political struggle. | 2. Agreement: Around 8 March 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members and senior commanders from the Minelik Command-Fikadu Belay Division surrendered to the ENDF in Hamuma Gindo, Dera (North Shewa, Oromia). The Head of Operations and military trainer from the Fekadu Belay Division are among those who surrendered peacefully. | 3. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 8 March 2026 (as reported), Fano entered and took control of Dire Gudina, also known as Dire Guda, and Gobot kebeles (location coded to Dire Gudina, Gida Ayana (East Wellega, Oromia), after ENDF withdrew from the area. There was no exchange of fire. | 4. Other: Displacement: Around 9 March 2026 (as reported), thousands of South Sudanese refugees crossed into Ethiopia via the Gambella Region (location coded to the admin center Gambella, Gambela town, Agnewak, Gambela), following the South Sudanese Army's ultimatum warning the civilians to leave Akobo County in the eastern Jonglei state. The place from which the civilians were ordered to leave is likely under the control of the Sudan People's Liberation Movement/Army. | 5. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: Around 9 March 2026 (as reported), Benishangul-Gumuz regional riot police and ENDF burned over 80 houses belonging to ethnic Oromo residents in Gipho (Debati, Metekel, Benshangul/Gumuz). The perpetrators accused the victims of having ties with OLF-OLA, and the victims were displaced to nearby places and took shelter in forests/under trees. | 6. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 10 March 2026, Benishangul-Gumuz regional riot police and Kebele militia burned houses of ethnic Oromo farmers in Tuksi Kebele (location coded to the admin center, Dibate, Debati, Metekel, Benshangul/Gumuz). The perpetrators accused the property owners of being OLF-OLA supporters or sympathizers. | 7. Change to group/activity: Change to armed group: Around 11 March 2026 (as reported), 6 suspected Kebele militia members defected, along with their weapons, and joined Fano (AFNM) in Delanta Woreda (location coded to the admin center, Wegeltena, Delanta, South wello, Amhara). | 8. Other: Around 11 March 2026 (as reported), the National Rehabilitation Commission announced that over 500 members of TDF's Army 70 and former ENDF personnel have entered the government's Disarmament, Demobilization, and Reintegration (DDR) program at a temporary rehabilitation center in Awash Arba, Amibara (Gabi-Zone 3, Afar), and have started participating in DDR activities. The Tigray Peace and Security Bureau accused the federal government of bypassing the legal signatories of the Pretoria Peace Agreement by engaging fighters individually to join the DDR process. The Commission stated that the group formally requested demobilization through the federal government and is now undergoing rehabilitation training as part of the national DDR program. The process, it said, aligns with the Pretoria Peace Agreement, which ended the two years of conflict in northern Ethiopia. | 9. Change to group/activity: Change to armed group: On 12 March 2026, 6 suspected ENDF members defected, along with their weapons, and joined Fano (AFNM) in East Amhara (location coded to Debre Birhan, Debre Berhan town, North Shewa, Amhara). | 10. Arrests: On 13 March 2026, a suspected Tigray Security Force member (likely TDF and mentioned as TPLF-affiliated Security Force) arrested a political commentator who is also a member and representative of the Tigray Salsawi/Salsay Woyane Party, as well as a co-founder of Romanat Online, while he was on his media work in Mekele, Mekelle (Mekelle Tigray, Tigray). He was detained without a court-issued arrest warrant. Salsay Weyane, the Tigray Party, condemned the arrest and called for his immediate release, urging human rights organizations to monitor the case. He appeared at Kedamay Weyane First Instance Court in Mekelle, and the police filed criminal charges against him, including 'the possession and trafficking of unauthorized or illegal weapons.' The court denied his bail request and adjourned the case for 19 March 2026. | 11. Change to group/activity: Recruitment: On 13 March 2026, Fano (AFNM) claimed to have graduated over 2,000 commando militia that it had recruited from the Amhara region (location coded to the administrative center Bahir Dar, Bahir Dar town, West Gojam, Amhara). | 12. Headquarters or base established: Around 13 March 2026 (as reported), Fano militias set up their military training camp in Sida (location coded to the nearby known town, Agemsa, in Amuru, Horo Gudru Wellega, Oromia). | 13. Headquarters or base established: Around 13 March 2026 (as reported), Fano militias set up their bases in the villages of Koticha and Habo Gomphola (location coded to the admin center, Alibo, Jarte Jardega, Horo Gudru Wellega, Oromia). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 12-03-2026 | Recalling SSPDF and allied forces' advances on Akobo in South Sudan's Jonglei State, the past three days have reportedly prompted some 35,000 additional South Sudanese asylum seekers to cross into | Recalling SSPDF and allied forces' advances on Akobo in South Sudan's Jonglei State, the past three days have reportedly prompted some 35,000 additional South Sudanese asylum seekers to cross into Ethiopia's Gambela Region . Approximately 82,000 people have arrived since February 2025 , and UNH CR estimate s that 100,000 could cross the border into Ethiopia in the coming days. Meanwhile, flooding and associated landslides that impacted Gamo Zone (South Ethiopia Region ) earlier this week have resulted in more than 110 people killed and some 3,460 displaced . | Environmental | UNOCC | |
| 10-03-2026 | OCHA reports that more than 37,500 people were displaced due to combat in January and early February between Tigray Defense Forces and regional security forces in Yalo District (Afar Region) ; more | OCHA reports that more than 37,500 people were displaced due to combat in January and early February between Tigray Defense Forces and regional security forces in Yalo District (Afar Region) ; more than one- half of th ose impacted have yet to receive any type of assistance. OCHA is engaging regional and federal authorities to facilitate humanitarian access to fuel and cash. In parallel , OHCHR notes continue d fighting in parts of Ethiopia's Amhara Region, with significant casualties recently reported among government and Fano militia force s. | Political | UNOCC | |
| 09-03-2026 | Flood in Ethiopia — near 6.17, 37.26 | Flood in Ethiopia Magnitude 0 Significant Impact. Alert: Orange. | Environmental | Orange | GDACS |
| 09-03-2026 | A multi -agency humanitarian rapid needs assessment reports that 26,000 people in Tigray are in dire need of aid following displacement due to ongoing clashes between government forces and the Tigray | A multi -agency humanitarian rapid needs assessment reports that 26,000 people in Tigray are in dire need of aid following displacement due to ongoing clashes between government forces and the Tigray People's Liberation Front . The displaced are sheltering in the open , as well as in public buildings and churches in Sekota Town and Hamusit village , without access to food, water, hygiene items, or health and livelihood support. Protection concerns, including violence against women and child neglect, are prevalent as negative coping mechanisms emerge . | Political, Social, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 09-03-2026 | Flood / Flood (General) in Ethiopia | Heavy rains; Deaths: 131; Affected: 14,263; Location: Gacho Baba, Bonke, Kamba , Zuria, West Abaya, Mazo Doisa, Kuyile, and Laka (Gamo region); DisNo: 2026-0158-ETH; Event_Start: 2026-03-09; EMDAT_Last_Update: 2026-04-03 | Environmental | EMDAT | |
| 06-03-2026 | 41 Battles events in Ethiopia (+41% vs previous week) | 41 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 41% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 34 locations including Sasit, Fendika, Heben Diba and 31 additional locations. These events resulted in 223 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 223 | ACLED |
| 06-03-2026 | 16 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (+129% vs previous week) | 16 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 129% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 14 locations including Burka Sorema, Dicho, Ashu Kusaye and 11 additional locations. List of events: 1. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 1 March 2026 (beginning of month), Fano militias entered and took control of Ashu Kusaye, Kiremu (East Wellega, Oromia), and Bagin, Badessa, Kiltu Abo, Wadesa Dima (also known as Burka Sorema), and Gudina Jiregna (coded separately). The incident occurred after ENDF withdrew from these areas. There was no exchange of fire. | 2. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 1 March 2026 (beginning of month), Fano militias entered and took control of Bagin, Kiremu (East Wellega, Oromia), and Ashu Kusaye, Badessa, Kiltu Abo, Wadesa Dima (also known as Burka Sorema), and Gudina Jiregna (coded separately). The incident occurred after ENDF withdrew from these areas. There was no exchange of fire. | 3. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 1 March 2026 (beginning of month), Fano militias entered and took control of Wadesa Dima, also known as Burka Sorema, Kiremu (East Wellega, Oromia), and Ashu Kusaye, Bagin, Badessa, Kiltu Abo, and Gudina Jiregna (coded separately). The incident occurred after ENDF withdrew from these areas. There was no exchange of fire. | 4. Headquarters or base established: Around 1 March 2026 (beginning of month), Fano militias set up their military camp in Dero Obera, Gida Ayana (East Wellega, Oromia), and Andode Dicho (coded separately). | 5. Headquarters or base established: Around 1 March 2026 (beginning of month), Fano militias set up their military camp in Andode Dicho, Gida Ayana (East Wellega, Oromia), and Dero Obera (coded separately). | 6. Headquarters or base established: Around 1 March 2026 (beginning of month), Fano militias set up their base in Fandaka (location coded to admin center, Gelila, in Limu Gelila, East Wellega, Oromia) following the ENDF's withdrawal from the area. | 7. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 1 March 2026 (beginning of month), Fano militias entered and took control of Gudina Jiregna, Kiremu (East Wellega, Oromia), and Ashu Kusaye, Bagin, Badessa, Kiltu Abo, and Wadesa Dima (coded separately). The incident occurred after ENDF withdrew from these areas. There was no exchange of fire. | 8. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 1 March 2026 (beginning of month), Fano militias entered and took control of Badesa and Kiltu Abo (location coded to the admin center, Kiremu town, Kiremu, East Wellega, Oromia), and Bagin, Ashu Kusaye, Wadesa Dima (also known as Burka Sorema), and Gudina Jiregna (coded separately). The incident occurred after ENDF withdrew from these areas. There was no exchange of fire. | 9. Arrests: Around 1 March 2026 (month of), government forces (likely the Oromia Regional State Police, given their involvement in arrests and the force's jurisdiction) arrested several families of OLF-OLA at a police station in Dire Incinni, Tikur Enchini (West Shewa, Oromia). The arrested people were accused of refusing to pressure their family members (OLF-OLA) to surrender and return from the battlefield. | 10. Other: Non-violent activity: On 2 March 2026, Fano banned vehicle movement in Tenta and Mekdela Woredas (location coded to Masha, Mekdela, South Wello, Amhara). Fano took over Masha from state security forces on 28 February 2026 and Tenta on 1 March 2026 (coded separately). | 11. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: Around 3 March 2026 (between 1 - 3 March), ENDF soldiers are accused of burning down and destroying more than 200 houses belonging to ethnic Amhara businessmen in Aruse, Abe Dongoro (location coded to the admin center, Tulu Wayu, Horo Guduru Wellega, Oromia). OLA accused the government of inciting inter-ethnic conflict between residents of the Amhara and Oromo groups, following the attack by Fano and ethnic Amhara militias against ethnic Oromo residents (coded separately). | 12. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 4 March 2026, a large number of Fano militias armed with heavy weapons were sighted in Burka Sorema (Kiremu, East Wellega, Oromia), crossing the Abay River and likely to mobilize ethnic Amhara settlers living in parts of East Wollega Zone, raising fears of potential clashes or violence in the surrounding woredas. The movement of the armed group has increased fear among local communities and led some families to leave their homes and relocate to nearby areas for safety. | 13. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: Around 5 March 2026 (as reported), suspected ENDF soldiers set fire to two grinding mills owned by a civilian in 05 Kebele in Wegidi (Wegde, South Wello, Amhara). The victim (owner of the grinding mills) was accused of sympathizing with Fano. | 14. Other: Around 5 March 2026 (as reported), suspected ENDF soldiers disarmed and confiscated 63 guns owned by civilians in Gorenj (Wegde, South Wello, Amhara). | 15. Arrests: Around 5 March 2026 (as reported), TDF soldiers (mentioned as armed TPLF militias) arrested 7 members of the Salsay Woyane Tigray Party in Endabaguna town, Indabaguna (North Western Tigray, Tigray). They were detained over claims that they had discouraged youth from joining the TDF recruitment. The party stated that the arrests were carried out by 'armed TPLF militias' rather than regular police officers in the town and described the incident as part of 'continued harassment against its members and supporters.' The party later said the detainees were released after being held for about a day, following what it described as 'efforts' by the party. | 16. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 6 March 2026, Fano militias, organized as 'Fano Bizamo Command', were sighted mobilizing in Indode Dicho, Gida Ayana (East Wellega, Oromia). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-02-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 February 2026, Fano militias supported by ethnic Amhara militias, attacked civilians at an unspecified location Abe Dongoro (location coded to the admin center, Tulu Wayu, Horo Guduru Wellega, Oromia), and in Lomicha, Homa Galesa, Garero, and other villages (coded separately). 4 civilians were killed. The armed group also burned and destroyed an unknown number of civilian houses and properties and looted more than 100 cattle. Over 7000 civilians were displaced from their homes and fled to Tulu Wayu and Shambu town. 4 fatalities shared across the four locations, and coded as 1 for this event. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 28-02-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 February 2026, Fano militias supported by ethnic Amhara militias, attacked civilians in Lomicha, Abe Dongoro (Horo Guduru Wellega, Oromia), and in Homa Galesa, Garero, and other villages (coded separately). 4 civilians were killed. The armed group also burned and destroyed an unknown number of civilian houses and properties and looted more than 100 cattle. Over 7000 civilians were displaced from their homes and fled to Tulu Wayu and Shambu town. 4 fatalities shared across the four locations, and coded as 1 for this event. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 28-02-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 February 2026, Fano militias supported by ethnic Amhara militias, attacked civilians in Galesa, Abe Dongoro (Horo Guduru Wellega, Oromia), and in Lomicha, Garero, and other villages (coded separately). 4 civilians were killed. The armed group also burned and destroyed an unknown number of civilian houses and properties and looted more than 100 cattle. Over 7000 civilians were displaced from their homes and fled to Tulu Wayu and Shambu town. 4 fatalities shared across the four locations, and coded as 1 for this event. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 28-02-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 February 2026, Fano militias supported by ethnic Amhara militias, attacked civilians in Garero, Abe Dongoro (Horo Guduru Wellega, Oromia), and in Lomicha, Homa Galesa, and other villages (coded separately). 4 civilians were killed. The armed group also burned and destroyed an unknown number of civilian houses and properties and looted more than 100 cattle. Over 7000 civilians were displaced from their homes and fled to Tulu Wayu and Shambu town. 4 fatalities shared across the four locations, and coded as 1 for this event. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 27-02-2026 | 29 Battles events in Ethiopia (+32% vs previous week) | 29 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 32% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 23 locations including Delgi, Lomicha, Shendi town and 20 additional locations. These events resulted in 229 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 229 | ACLED |
| 27-02-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 27 February 2026, for a second day, suspected OLF-OLA fighters attacked and killed at least 7 Orthodox Christian residents in Jawi Wachu, Shirka (Arsi, Oromia). The armed group also abducted 5 more civilians and burned dozens of civilian houses and an Orthodox Christian Church office. The Permanent Synod of the Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahedo Church, the Inter-Religious Council of Ethiopia, the Ethiopian Islamic Affairs Supreme Council, and OLF have condemned the attack and urged authorities to take immediate action to bring perpetrators to justice and strengthen protection for residents. | Conflict | Fatalities: 7 | ACLED |
| 27-02-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 27 February 2026, Kebele militia killed 3 and wounded 5 civilians in Segno Gebeya market in Kobo (Kobo town, North Wello, Amhara). The members of the Kebele militia also conducted house-to-house raids across the town, assaulting and intimidating civilians. The killing was conducted as a retaliation for the killing of Raya Kobo militia head by Fano militia in Kobo on the same date (coded separately). | Conflict | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 26-02-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 26 February 2026, OLF-OLA attacked civilians in Geba village, Robe (location coded to the admin center, Robe, Arsi, Oromia), killing an unspecified number of civilians. OLF-OLA denied the claim that its forces were responsible for the attack and pointed to the government. Unspecified fatalities coded as 3. | Conflict | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 26-02-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 26 February 2026, (from 10:00 pm - 03:00 am), suspected OLF-OLA attacked civilians in Dembeza Wale/Haro Fesho Genet (location coded to the admin center, Gohatsion, Wara Jarso, North Shewa, Oromia) and killed 3 civilians. The armed group also burned and destroyed civilian homes, looted harvests, and stole around 1300 cattle. The violence forced residents to flee their homes. | Conflict | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 26-02-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 26 February 2026, suspected OLF-OLA members from Wabe Forest opened fire, killing at least 21 civilians (mostly Orthodox Christians) in Jawi Wachu, Shirka (Arsi, Oromia). 8 more people were injured and admitted to a hospital. The armed group also abducted 2 more people, and 8 others are missing, with their whereabouts unknown. The Permanent Synod of the Ethiopian Orthodox Tewahedo Church, the Inter-Religious Council of Ethiopia, the Ethiopian Islamic Affairs Supreme Council, Ethiopian Human Rights Commission (EHRC), and OLF condemned the attack and urged authorities to take immediate action to bring perpetrators to justice and strengthen protection for residents. OLF-OLA denied the claim that its forces were responsible for the attack and pointed to the government. | Conflict | Fatalities: 21 | ACLED |
| 26-02-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 26 February 2026, suspected Fano militias continued attacking civilians in Lomicha, Abe Dongoro (Horo Guduru Wellega, Oromia). Casualties unknown. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 25-02-2026 | Tigrayan parties and armed groups have condemned the removal on Monday, by the Ethiopian House of Federation , of five electoral constituencies from Tigray, cutting its number of seats from 38 to 33 | Tigrayan parties and armed groups have condemned the removal on Monday, by the Ethiopian House of Federation , of five electoral constituencies from Tigray, cutting its number of seats from 38 to 33. According to OHCHR , this development has increased tensions amid federal -Fano clashes in Amhara and a n expanded Oromo Liberation Army presence in Oromia. Twenty rights and humanitarian groups have recently cautioned that Ethiopia is nearing renewed large -scale conflict . | Political | UNOCC | |
| 20-02-2026 | 22 Battles events in Ethiopia (-54% vs previous week) | 22 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 54% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 19 locations including Sanka, Wezeqa, Zeyise Demibele and 16 additional locations. These events resulted in 107 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 107 | ACLED |
| 18-02-2026 | OHCHR describes a recent escalation of insecurity across Amhara, Oromia and Tigray regions | OHCHR describes a recent escalation of insecurity across Amhara, Oromia and Tigray regions . Government forces have reportedly undertaken drone strikes in Woreta (Amhara) that resulted in four civilians killed and four others wounded . In Oromia, government troop withdrawals have prompted increased recruitment efforts by militia and associated fears of forced re -enlistment . Attacks by Oromo Liberation Army ( OLA) combatants in Zeway Dugda have killed 18 militia members and there is a continued 2 OLA presence reported in East Borena and Guji. There are also concerns about renewed conflict i n Tigray, with large -scale deployments of government forces in Asgede and Wolikait. OCHA reports that i n contested areas of Tigray and Amhara , recent fighting has displaced more than 80,000 people . Cash shortages and fuel restrictions in Tigray continue to impede humanitarian efforts . | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 14-02-2026 | Mpox: recombinant virus with genomic elements of clades Ib and IIb – Global situation | In December 2025, the United Kingdom detected the first reported case of a clade Ib/IIb MPXV recombinant strain. 5 After classification of this case and posting in a public database as a novel MPXV recombinant strain, a case of mpox detected in India in September 2025 was retrospectively reclassified as a closely-related recombinant strain based on sequencing data. To date, these are the only known cases of this recombinant virus. Case detected in the United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland The case was identified following testing of a vesicular swab from a traveler who had returned from a country in the Asia Pacific region in October 2025. During laboratory confirmation, the virus was initially typed as clade Ib MPXV by qPCR. Subsequent whole genome sequencing revealed that the MPXV strain identified was distinct from other known clade Ib MPXV strains with phylogenetic analysis indicating that the genome had regions similar to both clade Ib and clade IIb MPXV reference sequences, suggesting that it is an inter-clade recombinant. To confirm this unusual finding, sequencing was repeated on the original extract from the primary sample, a fresh extract from the same primary sample, a second swab collected from the patient at the same time, and a cultured isolate derived from the initial swab. This repeat sequencing yielded identical viral genome sequences from the two clinical swabs and the cultured isolate, supporting the initial findings of a new recombinant strain, and showing that it can replicate and presents potential for onward transmission. This strain is a recombinant MPXV, containing genetic elements from both clade Ib and clade IIb MPXV. A small number of contacts were identified and followed up in the United Kingdom; none developed any clinical features of mpox. Health worker contacts had worn full personal protective equipment (PPE) during provision of medical care to the patient. The authorities of the United Kingdom continue to investigate the significance of this recombinant MPXV strain through phenotypic characterization studies. Case detected in India On 13 January 2026, the National IHR Focal Point (NFP) of India notified WHO of a mpox case with an inter‑clade recombinant MPXV which was, upon whole-genome sequencing, found to have genomic elements of clades Ib and IIb MPXV. The recombinant virus was found in samples from a man with mpox who had presented for care in September 2025. The patient had reported recent travel from a country in the Arabian Peninsula, where he resides as an overseas worker. He developed symptoms on 1 September 2025, while still abroad. After his return to India, real‑time PCR confirmed MPXV infection on 11 September 2025. Clade differentiation PCR performed on 15 September 2025 initially identified this virus as clade II MPXV. Initial genomic sequencing analysis suggested features consistent with clade IIb MPXV. However, following the update of the global Nextclade database on 16 December 2025, which included the recombinant clade Ib/IIb MPXV strain reported by the United Kingdom, the virus from the patient in India was reclassified as belonging to the recombinant strain. Recombination analysis demonstrated mosaic patterns containing genomic regions derived from both parent clades. Following the initial diagnosis, the patient was hospitalized, did not experience any medical complications, and fully recovered, testing negative for MPXV on 29 September 2025. The case reported no close contacts in India, and no known secondary cases were identified following this introduction of the recombinant clade Ib/IIb MPXV in India. Full or near‑full genome retrieval (>99%) from both the sample and a sample-derived virus isolate enabled phylogenetic analysis showing >99.9% similarity to the recombinant strain detected in the United Kingdom. A total of 34 recombinant tracts were observed in the sequence reported by India, while 28 recombinant tracts were observed in the sequence reported by the United Kingdom; 16 recombinant tracts were common to both strains. This case in India therefore represents the earliest known detection of this recombinant strain globally, having preceded the event reported in the United Kingdom. Consistent with the case reported in the United Kingdom, clinical presentation was consistent with cases due to clade I or clade II MPXV (non-recombinant MPXV) infection. | Social | WHO | |
| 13-02-2026 | 29 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (+222% vs previous week) | 29 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 222% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 29 locations including Addis Ababa, Adi Dairo, Adi Hageray and 26 additional locations. List of events: 1. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 7 February 2026 (as reported), TDF and the Eritrean Defense Forces (EDF) were observed in Sheraro, Tahtay Adiyabo (North Western Tigray, Tigray), mobilizing forces likely destined for Wolkait in Western Tigray. In response, ENDF began deploying armored vehicles and weaponry in Western Tigray (coded separately). | 2. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 7 February 2026 (as reported), TDF and the Eritrean Defense Forces (EDF) were observed in Shire, Tahtay Tahtay Koraro (North Western Tigray, Tigray), mobilizing forces likely destined for Wolkait in Western Tigray. In response, ENDF began deploying armored vehicles and weaponry in Western Tigray (coded separately). | 3. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: Around 7 February 2026 (weekend of), ENDF soldiers demolished new houses built by the Somali Regional State for ethnic Somalis in Biyo, Chinaksen (location coded in the admin center, Chinhahsan/Chinaksen, East Harage, Oromia), to halt sporadic clashes over land disputes between ethnic Oromo residents and Somali Regional State forces. | 4. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 7 February 2026, ENDF began withdrawing from 18 towns and 13 Woreda administrations in South Gondar Zone (location coded to admin center, Debre Tabor (Debre Tabor town, South Gondar, Amhara). The ENDF had military camps in various parts of the South Gondar zone before its withdrawal (likely for a military assignment elsewhere). Following the withdrawal, Fano advanced its operations and took control of many military camps and towns (coded separately). | 5. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano took over Ibnat (Ebenat, South Gondar, Amhara), following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF began withdrawing from many Woredas and towns in the South Gondar Zone on 7 February 2026, likely for a military assignment elsewhere (coded separately). | 6. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano took over Hamusit (Dera, South Gondar, Amhara), following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF began withdrawing from many Woredas and towns in the South Gondar Zone on 7 February 2026, likely for a military assignment elsewhere (coded separately). | 7. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano took over Meketewa (Mena Meketewa, South Gondar, Amhara), following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF began withdrawing from many Woredas and towns in the South Gondar Zone on 7 February 2026, likely for a military assignment elsewhere (coded separately). | 8. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano took over Aja (Mena Meketewa, South Gondar, Amhara), following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF began withdrawing from many Woredas and towns in the South Gondar Zone on 7 February 2026, likely for a military assignment elsewhere (coded separately). | 9. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano took over Arb Gebeya (Tach Gayint, South Gondar, Amhara), following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF began withdrawing from many Woredas and towns in the South Gondar Zone on 7 February 2026, likely for a military assignment elsewhere (coded separately). | 10. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano took over Welela Bahir (Lay Gayint, South Gondar, Amhara), following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF began withdrawing from many Woredas and towns in the South Gondar Zone on 7 February 2026, likely for a military assignment elsewhere (coded separately). | 11. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano took over Semada (Semada, South Gondar, Amhara), following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF began withdrawing from many Woredas and towns in the South Gondar Zone on 7 February 2026, likely for a military assignment elsewhere (coded separately). | 12. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano claimed to have taken over Iste (East Esite, South Gondar, Amhara), likely following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF began withdrawing from many Woredas and towns in the South Gondar Zone on 7 February 2026 (coded separately). | 13. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano claimed to have taken over Selare (Kinfaz, Central Gondar, Amhara), likely following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. | 14. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano claimed to have taken over Gohala (East Belesa, Central Gondar, Amhara), likely following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. | 15. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano claimed to have taken over Arbaya (West Belesa, Central Gondar, Amhara), likely following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. | 16. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano took over Muja (Sede Muja, South Gondar, Amhara) following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF began withdrawing from the Woredas and towns in South Gondar Zone on 7 February 2026 (coded separately). | 17. Non-violent transfer of territory: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), Fano took over Andabet (West Esite, South Gondar, Amhara) following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF began withdrawing from the Woredas and towns in South Gondar Zone on 7 February 2026 (coded separately). | 18. Headquarters or base established: Around 10 February 2026 (as reported), the Government of Ethiopia was accused of constructing a secret military training camp for the RSF at Menge (location coded to the nearest known location, Menge town, Asosa, Benshangul/Gumuz). Construction of the military training camp, believed to be located 32 km from the Sudanese border, began in October 2025 and was financed by the United Arab Emirates (UAE). The military camp is estimated to train 10,000 soldiers at a time, and as of the beginning of January 2026, around 4,300 RSF members had undergone training at the camp, with their logistical expenses and military supplies covered by the UAE. Further, a drone control center was believed to have been constructed near Asosa airport, around 53 km away from the camp, for the same purpose. | 19. Arrests: On 10 February 2026, Addis Ababa Police detained a senior member of the Ethiopian People's Revolutionary Party (EPRP) and a candidate in the upcoming 7th national election in Addis Ababa, Piassa/Simen Hotel, Arada (Region 14, Addis Ababa). The police released him the following day without providing any justification for his arrest, after the party called for his release. | 20. Non-violent transfer of territory: On 11 February 2026, Fano claimed to have taken over Alem Ber (Fogera, South Gondar, Amhara) likely following the ENDF's withdrawal from the town. The ENDF withdrew from many Woredas and towns in the South Gondar zone, and many of these towns subsequently fell into the hands of the Fano militia. | 21. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 11 February 2026 (week of), TDF (Army 42), which had been stationed in Adwa, Feres May, and Ahferom over the past two years, deployed in Dedebit, Asgede (North Western Tigray, Tigray), and Tselimoy (coded separately). The TDF's deployment of forces to the area came amid renewed tensions with the federal government and the recent deployment of ENDF in Western and Southern Tigray and in the Afar Region (coded separately). | 22. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 11 February 202 | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 13-02-2026 | 48 Battles events in Ethiopia (+9% vs previous week) | 48 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 9% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 37 locations including Debre Tabor, Kuch, Mengist and 34 additional locations. These events resulted in 121 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 121 | ACLED |
| 11-02-2026 | OHCHR reports that recent incidents in Amhara and Oromia regions show a pattern of indiscriminate or disproportionate use of force, civilian killings based on perceived affiliations and abductions by | OHCHR reports that recent incidents in Amhara and Oromia regions show a pattern of indiscriminate or disproportionate use of force, civilian killings based on perceived affiliations and abductions by armed groups. In Amhara, Ethiopian National Defense Force on 5-6 February killed at least 25 civilians and injured dozens house searches and shelling. In the context of calls to de-escalate the tense situation in the Tigray region, reports indicate that recent fighting in the region displac ed some 78,450 people . | Political | UNOCC | |
| 11-02-2026 | Severe drought and crop failure in south raises urgent aid demand. | As of February 2026, Ethiopia faces significant drought conditions in the southern parts of the country due to a failed October to December Deyr season, exacerbated by above-average temperatures from October to December. This drought has led to crop failures and a decline in pastoral vegetation, particularly affecting the zones of Liben, Borena, Afder, and Guji, with Borena experiencing total crop failure. This has led to increased food security risks and high food prices in these areas, compounded by below-average harvests from the Meher season in neighboring regions like Bale and Harerge. Seasonal forecasts indicate near-average to slightly above-average rainfall for the upcoming Belg season, but the ongoing drought's impact necessitates urgent humanitarian aid. The situation is further complicated by rising tensions in the vulnerable Tigray region, where recovery from past conflicts is slow due to unrehabilitated infrastructure. | Environmental | High concern | HDX Signals |
| 10-02-2026 | Today , the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights called on all parties to take urgent steps to de- escalat e the tense situation in the Tigray region , following reports of renewed clashes between | Today , the UN High Commissioner for Human Rights called on all parties to take urgent steps to de- escalat e the tense situation in the Tigray region , following reports of renewed clashes between the Ethiopian army and regional forces . OHCHR warned that the fighting risks worsening the already serious humanitarian and human rights situation in northern Ethiopia. The High Commissioner also expressed concern over rising tensions between Ethiopia and Eritrea, warning that this could further deteriorate the human rights landscape across the wider Horn of Africa. | Political | UNOCC | |
| 06-02-2026 | 44 Battles events in Ethiopia (+22% vs previous week) | 44 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 22% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 35 locations including Genti, Gonka, Saniale and 32 additional locations. These events resulted in 72 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 72 | ACLED |
| 03-02-2026 | Further to yesterday's mention, fighting in north -western Tigray Region between the Ethiopian military and Tigrayan defence forces has since subsided | Further to yesterday's mention, fighting in north -western Tigray Region between the Ethiopian military and Tigrayan defence forces has since subsided . The interim president of the Tigray Regional State has reiterat ed calls for IDPs to return and for the restoration of constitutional sovereignty . OHCHR reports human rights violations in Tselemti, where joint Ethiopian and Selam -Askebari forces undertook house -to-house searches and arrested six men . | Political | UNOCC | |
| 31-01-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 31 January 2026, around 5 am, an ENDF drone strike hit a truck carrying pepper in Gendebta, Adwa (Central Tigray, Tigray). Similar strikes were also conducted in Enticho town and Aheferom (coded separately). Casualties unknown. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-01-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 31 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members (part of AFPO splinter group) surrendered to ENDF in Hulet Ej Enese Woreda (location coded to admin center Motta, Hulet Ej Enese, East Gojam, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-01-2026 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 31 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members (part of AFPO splinter group) surrendered to ENDF in East Dembia Woreda (location coded to admin center Dembia, East Dembia, Central Gondar, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-01-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 31 January 2026, overnight, an ENDF drone strike hit an unspecified location in Aheferom woreda (location coded to the admin center, Enticho town, Enticho, Central Tigray, Tigray). Similar strikes were also conducted in Enticho and Gendebta towns (coded separately). The target was not clear. Casualties unknown. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-01-2026 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 31 January 2026, overnight (between 3 am and 4 am), ENDF drone strikes hit two Isuzu trucks in Enticho town, Enticho (Central Tigray, Tigray), and in Gendebta (coded separately). 1 truck driver was killed, and an assistant driver was injured in the strike. A TPLF-affiliated news outlet published photos of trucks damaged in the strikes and claimed they were transporting food and cooking supplies. Government affiliated sources claimed that the trucks were carrying weapons. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 30-01-2026 | 12 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (+20% vs previous week) | 12 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 20% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 12 locations including Alamata, Amba Maderiya, Bahir Dar and 9 additional locations. List of events: 1. Agreement: Around 24 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members surrendered to ENDF in Nefas Mewcha (Nefas Mewicha town, South Gondar, Amhara). | 2. Other: Displacement: Around 25 January 2026 (as reported), several ethnic Amhara residents, particularly in Sibu Sire and Anger Gute, have fled their homes in East Wollega Zone (coded to the zonal admin center, Nekemt, Nekemte town, Oromia) due to rising insecurity and ethnic tensions after being accused of links to the Fano. Recent clashes between the Fano armed group and government forces have caused widespread fear among the Amhara community in Sibu Sire and Anger Gute (coded separately). | 3. Agreement: Around 26 January 2026 (as reported), 80 OLF-OLA members peacefully surrendered to ENDF at an unspecified location in East Borena, formerly East Guji (location coded to the zonal admin center, Negele town, Negele, Oromia). | 4. Disrupted weapons use: Weapons seizure: Around 27 January 2026 (as reported), ENDF claimed to have seized various weapons from an unspecified armed group around Gibe (location coded to the Gibe, due to the Federal Checkpoint, Sekoru, Jima, Oromia) during a search operation. | 5. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 28 January 2026, TDF forces entered the Waldiba Gedam a religious Monastery adjacent to the Tekeze River in Tselemti (North Western Tigray, Tigray). The monastery is considered a strategic corridor linking Wolkait and Tselemt. The federal forces had previously refrained from establishing a presence in the monastery out of respect for its religious sanctity and the challenging terrain. The TDF's occupation of the grounds has raised significant alarm. Local residents and officials are concerned that the TDF intends to use the monastery as a tactical base to launch an incursion into Wolkayt in the coming days. In response to these developments, the ENDF intensified drone surveillance over the area to monitor TDF movements. | 6. Agreement: Around 29 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano members surrendered to ENDF in Ibnat (Ebenat, South Gondar, Amhara). The Fano members returned as a part of the agreement signed between the Government of Ethiopia and the AFPO splinter faction. | 7. Change to group/activity: Security measures: Around 29 January 2026 (as reported), Ethiopian government forces (likely ENDF and ethnic Amhara militias, given their presence and joint operations against the TDF in the area) closed the road between May Tsebri and Shire at the Tekeze River (location coded Amba Maderiya, also known as Amba Mader, in Tselemti, North Western Tigray, Tigray) to block the possible entry of the TDF Army 70 unit into West Tigray from the Sudanese side near Shererina, along the Ethio-Sudanese border. Some sources also claimed that the government forces had displaced residents of Dedebit woreda in northwestern Tigray, as well as other woredas near the Tekeze River. | 8. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 29 January 2026, overnight, ENDF and Federal Police forces, which had been stationed in Southern Tigray, in Alamata, Korem (Ofla), and Zata weredas, left the areas and moved to Timuga, Raya Alamata (Southern Tigray, Tigray). Local militias, police forces, and some units of the TDF fully took over the areas in the morning. Following this development, some residents of Alamata fled to Kobo and other towns due to insecurity. | 9. Looting/property destruction: Looting: On 29 January 2026, TDF forces looted civilian and government properties in Alamata town, Alamata (Southern Tigray, Tigray), after ENDF and Federal Police left the town. Thousands of residents fled their homes in fear of the potential escalation of violence and forced conscription by the TDF. | 10. Disrupted weapons use: Weapons seizure: On 30 January 2026, Fano claimed to have seized a large quantity of ammunition from ENDF at an unspecified place in the Amhara region (location coded to the admin center, Bahir Dar, Bahir Dar town, West Gojam, Amhara). Fano refrained from disclosing the location, citing security reasons, as they were transporting the seized ammunition. | 11. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: Around 30 January 2026 (as reported), three TDF divisions (Army 11, 13, and 35) arrived in the Armadega area, between Tselemt and the Wolkayt-Tegede-Humera zone (location coded to May-Gaba town, May Gaba, Western Tigray, Tigray), in preparation for an offensive against the Tselemt and Wolkayt fronts. | 12. Other: Displacement: On 30 January 2026, over 60,000 ethnic Amhara residents, particularly in Alamata, Raya Abala, Raya Alamata, Korem, Zata, and neighbouring villages, left their homes and fled to Kobo (Kobo town, North Wello, Amhara), following the withdrawal of ENDF and the federal command post from Raya (coded separately). The withdrawal of the federal forces from the contested Southern Tigray zone has caused widespread fear among the Amhara community and forced them to leave their homes behind and flee. The IDPs protested in Kobo demanding the withdrawal of Tigray security forces from the area(coded separately). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-01-2026 | 36 Battles events in Ethiopia (+300% vs previous week) | 36 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 300% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 31 locations including Debre Markos, Gashena, Mechera and 28 additional locations. These events resulted in 74 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 74 | ACLED |
| 29-01-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 29 January 2026, an unidentified armed group abducted 6 drivers of commercial vehicles traveling from Sedika to Robe (Arsi, Oromia). No further information. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 26-01-2026 | Marburg virus disease- Ethiopia | On 14 November 2025, after the laboratory confirmation of suspected viral hemorrhagic fever (VHF) cases in Jinka town, South Ethiopia Regional State, Ethiopia, the Ministry of Health of Ethiopia declared an outbreak of Marburg Virus Disease (MVD). Molecular testing conducted by the National Reference Laboratory at the Ethiopian Public Health Institute (EPHI) identified Marburg virus (MARV) in patient samples. This was the first time Ethiopia was reporting a MVD outbreak . The first known case was an adult from Jinka town who developed symptoms on 23 October. The patient presented to the General Hospital the following day with vomiting, loss of appetite, and abdominal cramps. As of 25 January 2026, a cumulative total of 14 confirmed cases, including nine deaths (Case Fatality Rate (CFR) 64.3%) and five probable cases, all of whom had died, were reported by the Ministry of Health from Jinka, Malle and Dasench woredas in South Ethiopia Region and Hawassa in Sidama Region. As of 25 January 2026, a total of 857 contacts were listed who completed 21 days of follow-up, 760 from the South Ethiopia Region and 97 from the Sidama Region. As of 5 January 2026, 3800 samples were tested for the virus. On 26 January 2026, after two consecutive incubation periods (a total of 42 days), without a new confirmed case reported, after the last confirmed case died and was given a safe and dignified burial, on 14 December 2025, the Ministry of Health of Ethiopia declared the end of the MVD outbreak, as per WHO recommendations. Figure 1: Map of districts reporting confirmed and probable Marburg virus disease cases in Ethiopia, as of 25 January 2026 | Social | WHO | |
| 25-01-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 25 January 2026, suspected ENDF soldiers shot and killed a civilian (fatality uncorroborated) in Muja (Gidan, North Wello, Amhara). Fano accused the ENDF soldiers of forcing the victim to give them 5 million ETB a few days before the attack and accused the perpetrators of cutting the victim's hands and genitals. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 24-01-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | Around 24 January 2026 (weekend of), an unknown militant group (coded as an unidentified armed group) opened fire and arbitrarily killed 5 daily laborers working on bridge construction in Shamole, Gelana (West Guji, Oromia), and injured two others. 4 laborers died on the spot, and one of the injured died after reaching Kelle Primary Hospital. | Conflict | Fatalities: 5 | ACLED |
| 23-01-2026 | 10 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (-23% vs previous week) | 10 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 23% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 10 locations including Adigrat, Arb Gebeya, Ayana and 7 additional locations. List of events: 1. Change to group/activity: Change to armed group: On 17 January 2026, AFNF and AFPO merged to form the Amhara Fano National Movement (AFNM) at an unspecified location in the Amhara region (location coded at the admin center, Bahir Dar, Bahir Dar town, West Gojam, Amhara). The new AFNM appointed Arbegna Zemene Kasse, previously the head of AFNF, as its Chairman. | 2. Arrests: On 17 January 2026, the Tigray Security Forces (TDF) arrested Brigadier General Geush Gebre, a former senior commander of the TDF Army 15 in Adigrat town, Adigrat (Eastern Tigray, Tigray). The Tigray Regional Security Bureau accused him of 'violating the TDF regulations, undermining internal cohesion, obstructing training and preparedness, engaging with criminal elements, and organizing activities that contributed to violence and instability in the region'. The detained general was among the commanders sanctioned for walking out of a meeting of senior Tigray army leaders on 24 January 2025, in protest of a resolution opposing the then-Tigray Interim Administration (coded separately). He is also vocal in opposition to the TPLF's alliance with the Eritrean government. The dispute later contributed to broader political shifts within the regional administration and the restructuring of its leadership. Six opposition parties in Tigray, including Salsay Weyane, Arena, and Baytona, have condemned the arrest and accused the TPLF of forming military alliances with the Eritrean government and Fano insurgents in the Amhara region. The TDF military court released the General on 2 February on bail, allowing him to remain at liberty while the legal proceedings proceed. | 3. Arrests: On 18 January 2026, security forces (likely ENDF, Oromia Regional State Police, and Kebele Militias due to the location and their joint operation in the area) arrested 123 Fano members and Fano-affiliated ethnic Amhara militias in the Andode Dicho, Ali, Abajo, and Gombochi kebeles (locations coded to the admin center, Ayana, Gida Ayana, East Wellega, Oromia). The individuals were accused of being members of the Amhara Fano armed group who 'had been operating in the area while disguising themselves as Ethnic Amhara residents'. The government claimed it disarmed the group, seizing military-grade weapons, which indicated a coordinated, organized armed presence rather than civilian ownership. The seized weapons included multiple Kalashnikov rifles, sniper rifles, pistols, and other light machine guns. | 4. Other: On 18 January 2026, three Somali regional political opposition groups, including a faction of the Ogaden National Liberation Front (ONLF) led by Abdurahman Mahadi, the Congress for Somali Cause (CSC), and the Somali Regional Democratic Alliance (SRDA), formed a new coalition, the 'Somali People's Alliance for Self-Determination (SPAS)'. The alliance aims to unify political, diplomatic, and civic efforts to defend Somali collective rights and advance self-determination. The groups declare an end to restraint and call for unified resistance against what they said is 'subjugation' by the federal government. The ONLF faction, which signed a peace agreement with the Ethiopian government in 2018, accused the government of violating that accord. Location coded to the regional capital, Jigjiga town, Jijiga (Fafan, Somali). | 5. Agreement: Around 19 January 2026 (as reported), 21 Fano militia members surrendered to ENDF in Baso Liben Woreda (location coded to the admin center, Yejube, Baso Liben, East Gojam, Amhara). The Fano forces surrendered together with their weapons and ammunition, which they were using to fight the government security forces. The Fano members surrendered as a part of the agreement that the government of Ethiopia signed with the AFPO splinter faction led by Captain Masresha Sete (coded separately). | 6. Agreement: Around 21 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano forces surrendered to the ENDF in the South Wello Zone (location coded to the admin center Dessie, Dessie town, South Wello, Amhara). | 7. Agreement: Around 21 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano forces surrendered to the ENDF in the North Wello Zone (location coded to the admin center Weldiya, Woldiya town, North Wello, Amhara). | 8. Change to group/activity: Security measures: On 22 January 2026, the Gambela town administration (coded as the Government of Ethiopia) banned motorcycle riding in Gambella (Gambela town, Agnewak, Gambela). Besides, three-wheeled vehicles (commonly referred to as bajaj) were prohibited from driving from 1 p.m to 1 a.m., and service-providing establishments such as hotels and restaurants were prohibited from working a night shift after 8 p.m. The ban was imposed in response to recent insecurity in the Gambela region. | 9. Agreement: Around 23 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members surrendered to ENDF in Tach Gayint Woreda (location coded to the admin center Arb Gebeya, Tach Gayint, South Gondar, Amhara). | 10. Disrupted weapons use: Weapons seizure: On 23 January 2026, ENDF, in collaboration with state law enforcement officials (likely Amhara state police and Kebele militia due to the location), seized unspecified types of weapons and ammunition destined for Fano in Debre Markos (Debre Markos town, East Gojam, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 23-01-2026 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | Around 23 January 2026 (as reported), Somali regional government police forces attacked ethnic Oromo residents at an unspecified location in Chinaksen woreda (coded to the admin center, Chinhahsan/Chinaksen, East Hararge, Oromia), over territorial claims between the Oromia and Somali regional states. 6 ethnic Oromo civilians were killed (fatalities uncorroborated). | Conflict | Fatalities: 6 | ACLED |
| 23-01-2026 | Battles in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 23 January 2026, ENDF, Amhara regional riot police, and Kebele militia clashed with Fano militia in Goy Kebele (location coded to the nearest known town, Yeidwuha, Shebel Bernta, East Gojjam, Amhara), leading to killings of forces on both sides and 1 civilian. The state security forces, mobilized from Yeidwuha town, initiated the clash, and the armed confrontation intensified with Fano's counterattack. Fatalities coded as 4 (unspecified number of fatalities coded as 3 + 1 civilian killed in the clash). | Conflict | Fatalities: 4 | ACLED |
| 16-01-2026 | 14 Battles events in Ethiopia (-56% vs previous week) | 14 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 56% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 13 locations including Kobo Robit, Agat, Amdework and 10 additional locations. These events resulted in 39 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 39 | ACLED |
| 16-01-2026 | 13 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (+18% vs previous week) | 13 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 18% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 12 locations including Humera, Abergele, Bagin and 9 additional locations. These events resulted in 6 reported fatalities. List of events: 1. Other: On 10 January 2026, the Welkait-Tegede-Setit-Humera zonal administration, currently under the Amhara Regional State, ordered two international humanitarian organizations, the Norwegian Refugee Council (NRC) and International Medical Corps (IMC), to leave and banned their operations in the zone, accusing them of 'partisan political positions'. The zonal administration also accused these organizations of referring to the zone as 'Western Tigray' and of conducting meetings, training, and activities that, it said, were 'contrary to the laws of the country and the Pretoria Agreement'. Location coded to the zonal admin center, Humera town (Setit Humera, Western Tigray, Tigray). NRC was one of three organizations banned by the Civil Society Organizations Authority (SCA) in July 2021 for conducting 'activities outside the scope of their mandate' during the Tigray conflict and was reinstated after five months. | 2. Agreement: Around 11 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano forces operating in Mekwabiya Kebele and Gobgoba area in Lay Gayint Woreda surrendered to ENDF in Lay Gayint Woreda (location coded to admin center, Nefas Mewcha, Nefas Mewicha town, South Gondar, Amhara). | 3. Agreement: Around 11 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano forces operating in the North Shewa zone surrendered to ENDF in Debre Birhan (Debre Berhan town, North Shewa, Amhara). | 4. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 11 January 2026, dozens of suspected Fano militias, armed with rifles, were spotted in Bagin, Kiremu (East Wellega, Oromia), while moving from the neighboring Amhara region to Kiremu. | 5. Agreement: On 12 January 2026, Fano (AFPO) deputy head and the AFPO's military chief surrendered to the ENDF at an unspecified location in Dawunt Woreda (coded to the admin center Mekdela, North Wello, Amhara). The military commander surrendered, together with an unspecified number of Fano forces, as part of the peace agreement signed on 4 December 2025 by the government of Ethiopia and AFPO, led by Captain Masresha Sete (coded separately). The military commander was shortly flown to Addis Ababa in ENDF's military helicopter. AFPO accused the military commander, who was also serving as the commander of Wello Bete Amhara Provincial command, of betraying the armed group and suspended him from all positions he had held prior to his surrender to ENDF. | 6. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: Around 12 January 2026 (as reported), suspected members of state security forces (likely Benishangul Gumuz state police and Kebele militia, from the location and context), burned the houses, grains, and properties of ethnic Oromo civilians in Wegdi and Goshor Kebeles in Wenbera Woreda (location coded to the admin center Wembera, Metekel, Benshangul/Gumuz). The residents of the Kebeles were displaced to nearby towns. | 7. Disrupted weapons use: Weapons seizure: On 13 January 2026, the Federal police, in collaboration with other state security forces (likely ENDF and Amhara state police due to the location), seized a large amount of ammunition (a total of 56,799 rounds of ammunition, including 41,999 Kalashnikov bullets, 14,000 Bren machine gun bullets, and 800 DShK artillery rifle bullets) destined for Fano at a security checkpoint in Weldiya (Woldiya town, North Wello, Amhara). The Federal Police accused the Eritrean government of supplying this ammunition to Fano to destabilize Ethiopia, and the TPLF served as an intermediary to facilitate the supply line and transportation. The Federal police accused the TPLF of taking the ammunition from the Eritrean government and facilitating its movement towards its final destination, to Fano in Shewa Robit. The bullets were transported in a commercial Isuzu freight truck mixed with cement and concrete blocks, and the Federal police arrested 2 suspects who were suspected of transporting the ammunition. The TPLF rejected the accusation as 'baseless and unfounded'. Likewise, the Eritrean government rejected the accusation as a false pretext intended to instigate a conflict. | 8. Change to group/activity: Security measures: On 14 January 2026, the Gambela state police instructed members of the Gambela state police and riot police officers to lay down their weapons and enter training centers in Gambella (Gambela town, Agnewak, Gambela). The state police instructed its members to return their weapons to the regional police's armory by 15 January 2026, 5:00 p.m., and indicated that the government would take measures against those police forces who fail to comply with the order. The measure was taken in connection with recent security concerns in the region, and the regional government initiated a reform training program for members of the police and riot police. | 9. Other: Displacement: Around 14 January 2026 (week of), Benishangul-Gumuz regional riot police and Kebele militia displaced ethnic Oromo farmers in Bechati Kebele (Debati, Metekel, Benishangul-Gumuz) and Gipho Kebele (Coded separately). The residents were displaced from Odo Aba Tafi, Damadasi, Tuski, Geshe, Gongo, Korka, Sobo Sire, and Jajaba Giga, located in the two Kebeles. The displacement was preceded by a meeting convened by the Debati Woreda administration, during which officials urged residents of various areas in Debati town to leave their homes and move to other places to facilitate the work of the security forces deployed to the area to search for OLF-OLA members. The victims were forced to move to Berber and Galesa without adequate provision of humanitarian support. | 10. Other: Displacement: Around 14 January 2026 (week of), Benishangul-Gumuz regional riot police and Kebele militia displaced ethnic Oromo farmers in Gipho Kebele (Debati, Metekel, Benishangul-Gumuz) and Bechati Kebele (Coded separately). The residents were displaced from Odo Aba Tafi, Damadasi, Tuski, Geshe, Gongo, Korka, Sobo Sire, and Jajaba Giga, located in the two Kebeles. The displacement was preceded by a meeting convened by the Debati Woreda administration, during which officials urged residents of various areas in Debati town to leave their homes and move to other places to facilitate the work of the security forces deployed to the area to search for OLF-OLA members. The victims were forced to move to Berber and Galesa without adequate provision of humanitarian support. | 11. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 15 January 2026, an unidentified armed group burned down three civilian homes in Akiya Shenkora (location coded to the nearby known village, Gobensa, in Robe, Arsi, Oromia), and displaced residents. No further information. | 12. Other: Explosive remnants of war: On 15 January 2026, a cannon shell believed to have abandoned during the northern Ethiopia conflict (2020-2022) blasted at Baltarf in 03 Kebele in Abergele Woreda (location coded to the admin center Abergele, Wag Hamra, Amhara), killing 6 persons and gravely injuring another 2 individuals. The cannon projectile (shell) was likely found unexploded, and one of the victims took it to their private residential house, where it exploded, killing the victims, and three of the victims were members of the same family (a father and his two children). | 13. Arrests: Around 15 January 2026 (month of), Welkait-Tegede-Setit-Humera-zone authorities and Tekze Zeb security forces (coded as Kebele militias) arbitrarily arrested ethnic Tigrayans and restricted their movements, employment, denied them their identity cards, and access to basic services such as banking services and land ownership since early 2026. The HRW accused the Ethiopian authorities and their partners of 'ignoring the treatm | Conflict | Fatalities: 6 | ACLED |
| 12-01-2026 | Forest fires in Ethiopia — near 7.16, 34.35 | Forest fires in Ethiopia Minor Impact. Alert: Green. | Environmental | Green | GDACS |
| 11-01-2026 | Forest fires in Ethiopia — near 8.87, 34.23 | Forest fires in Ethiopia Minor Impact. Alert: Green. | Environmental | Green | GDACS |
| 10-01-2026 | Forest fires in Sudan, Ethiopia — near 6.41, 34.76 | Forest fires in Sudan, Ethiopia Minor Impact. Alert: Green. | Environmental | Green | GDACS |
| 09-01-2026 | 11 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (+22% vs previous week) | 11 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 22% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 11 locations including Addis Ababa, Aykel, Bahir Dar and 8 additional locations. List of events: 1. Agreement: Around 4 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano forces operating in Kiniti Kebele and its surroundings in Fogera Woreda surrendered to the Government of Ethiopia in Wereta (Woreta town, South Gondar, Amhara). | 2. Agreement: Around 4 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano forces operating in Ibnat Woreda surrendered to the ENDF in Ibnat (Ebenat, South Gondar, Amhara). | 3. Agreement: Around 5 January 2026 (as reported), 256 Fano militias peacefully surrendered their weapons to the ENDF at an unspecified location in Wara Jarso woreda (location coded to the administrative center, Gohatsion, North Shewa, Oromia). | 4. Agreement: Around 5 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of OLF-OLA peacefully surrendered to ENDF at an unspecified location in Hidabu Abote (location coded to the admin center, Ejere, North Shewa, Oromia). | 5. Change to group/activity: Recruitment: On 5 January 2026, the Wolkayt-Tsegede-Setit-Humera Zone (currently under the Amhara region) held a graduation ceremony for its newly recruited and trained local militia (coded as ethnic Amhara militias), the Tekeze Special Force, in Tsegede, Tegede woreda (Western Tigray, Tigray). Sources indicate that the primary purpose of these forces is to target and address illicit activities in the zone. The Amhara region continued to train local militias despite the TPLF's insistence that all non-Federal forces withdraw from Western Tigray. | 6. Agreement: Around 5 January 2026 (between 3 January - 5 January), an unspecified number of Fano forces operating in the Welela Bahir and Checheho areas in Lay Gayint Woreda surrendered to the Government of Ethiopia in Nefas Mewcha (Nefas Mewicha town, South Gondar, Amhara). | 7. Agreement: Around 6 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano forces surrendered to the ENDF in Meket Woreda (location coded to the admin center Filakit, Meket, North Wello, Amhara). | 8. Agreement: Around 8 January 2026 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano forces surrendered to the ENDF in Chilga Woreda (location coded to the admin center, Aykel town, Aykel, Central Gondar, Amhara). | 9. Change to group/activity: Change to armed group: On 8 January 2026, 11 suspected ENDF members defected, along with their weapons, and joined Fano (AFNF) near Debre Markos (Debre Markos town, East Gojam, Amhara). | 10. Agreement: Around 8 January 2026 (as reported), the Eritrean Afar National Congress (EANC) and the Red Sea Afar Democratic Organization (RSADO) signed a cooperative agreement in Lideta (Region 14, Addis Ababa) to jointly overthrow the Eritrean government. Spokespersons for both exiled Eritrean opposition groups said the agreement was intended to advance the shared goal of self-determination for the Eritrean Afar and to build a 'Democratic Eritrea'. The agreement followed a public conference in Semera, Afar region, at which both organizations, along with Afar sultans, intellectuals, youth, and other community members, participated. | 11. Agreement: Around 9 January 2026 (as reported), 118 Fano forces operating in the West Gojam Zone, Bahir Dar area, and Awi zones surrendered to the ENDF at an unspecified location in the Gojam area (location coded to the admin center Bahir Dar (Bahir Dar town, West Gojam, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 09-01-2026 | 32 Battles events in Ethiopia (+39% vs previous week) | 32 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 39% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 30 locations including Debre Markos, Rebu Gebeya, Aba Mela and 27 additional locations. These events resulted in 126 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 126 | ACLED |
| 09-01-2026 | 2 OCHA warns that following the failure of October -December rains , nearly 500,000 people in Ethiopia's Somali region face increased shortages of water | 2 OCHA warns that following the failure of October -December rains , nearly 500,000 people in Ethiopia's Somali region face increased shortages of water. Emergency water support has been provided to over 175,000 people; however, more than 320,000 remain without access to safe water. | Technological | UNOCC | |
| 06-01-2026 | Road in Ethiopia: Migrants | Deaths: 22; Affected: 65; Location: Afar region; DisNo: 2026-0010-ETH; Event_Start: 2026-01-06; EMDAT_Last_Update: 2026-02-02 | Technological | EMDAT | |
| 02-01-2026 | 23 Battles events in Ethiopia (-28% vs previous week) | 23 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 28% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 21 locations including Bofa, Degem Hambiso, Adama and 18 additional locations. These events resulted in 50 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 50 | ACLED |
| 31-12-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Central Ethiopia | Around 31 December 2025 (as reported), the Mareko ethnic militia stabbed and killed 1 civilian at an unspecified place in Misrak Meskan Woreda (location coded to the administrative center Inseno, Misrak Meskan, Guraghe, Central Ethiopia region). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 31-12-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 31 December 2025, suspected ENDF soldiers killed a civilian woman and wounded her husband (fatalities uncorroborated) in Nebir Gedel Kebele (Senan, East Gojam, Amhara). The perpetrators accused the victims of being parents of a Fano member. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 31-12-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 31 December 2025, overnight, suspected ENDF soldiers killed 1 woman civilian (fatality uncorroborated) in Mindaye Kebele in Awabel Woreda (location coded to the admin center Lumame, Awabel, East Gojam, Amhara). The perpetrators accused the victim of being the mother of a Fano member in the area. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 31-12-2025 | Forest fires in Ethiopia — near 7.82, 34.15 | Forest fires in Ethiopia Minor Impact. Alert: Green. | Environmental | Green | GDACS |
| 31-12-2025 | OCHA is planning a humanitarian response to violence between the Anywaa and Nuer communities in Gambela Region that has displaced 28,868 people, 85 per cent of whom are women and children | OCHA is planning a humanitarian response to violence between the Anywaa and Nuer communities in Gambela Region that has displaced 28,868 people, 85 per cent of whom are women and children. Priority needs include f ood, non -food items, health services, clean water and protection. | Social | UNOCC | |
| 30-12-2025 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 30 December 2025, Fano threw a handbomb targeting local government officials in Addis Kidame (Fagta Lakoma, Awi, Amhara). The identity of the targeted political officials was unknown. Casualties unknown. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-12-2025 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 30 December 2025 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militias surrendered to the ENDF in Angot Woreda (location coded to the admin center Ahun Tegegn, Gazo, North Wello, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-12-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 30 December 2025, Fano (AFNF) raped and killed 3 civilian girls (aged between 17 and 19 years old) in Tija Goter junction near Debre Elias Woreda (East Gojam, Amhara). Fano accused the victims of spying for government security forces. According to the statement of the Debre Elias Woreda administration leaders, the 3 victims were daily laborers, and one of the three women was deaf. Fano admitted the killing and defended itself stating the victims were not civilians as they were caught while spying for the government under the guise of working as daily laborers. Fano denied the rape accusation. | Conflict | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 30-12-2025 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 30 December 2025 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militias surrendered to the ENDF in Metema Woreda (location coded to the admin center Metema, West Gojam, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-12-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Somali | On 28 December 2025, an unknown clan militia shot and killed 1 individual in the Buran Caad area (location coded to the admin center, Warder, Warder, Doolo, Somali), over clan revenge (no information). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 28-12-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 December 2025, a suspected OLF-OLA member killed 1 civilian who was an Orthodox Christian (fatalities uncorroborated) in Mikana Dipisa Kebele in Shirka Woreda (location coded to admin center Gobesa, Shirka, Arsi, Oromia). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 28-12-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 December 2025, government forces (coded as ENDF, Oromia Regional State Police, and Kebele Militias, given their joint operation and presence in the area) shot and killed 2 teachers in Kere Senkore, Ginde Beret (West Shewa, Oromia), after accusing them of their support for, and their family members' affiliation with, the OLF-OLA. | Conflict | Fatalities: 2 | ACLED |
| 26-12-2025 | 32 Battles events in Ethiopia (-9% vs previous week) | 32 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 9% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 27 locations including Dicho, Arjo Kersa, Korati and 24 additional locations. These events resulted in 117 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 117 | ACLED |
| 24-12-2025 | Forest fires in Ethiopia — near 12.01, 35.51 | Forest fires in Ethiopia Minor Impact. Alert: Green. | Environmental | Green | GDACS |
| 24-12-2025 | Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus - Global update | Since the first report of MERS-CoV in the KSA and Jordan in 2012, a total 2635 laboratory-confirmed cases of MERS-CoV infection, with 964 associated deaths (Case Fatality Ratio (CFR) of 37%), have been reported to WHO from 27 countries, across all six WHO regions (Figure 1). The majority of cases (84%; n=2224), have been reported from the KSA (Figure 2). Since the beginning of 2025 and as of 21 December, a total of 19 cases have been reported to WHO. Overall, 17 cases were reported in the KSA from five regions named: Riyadh (n=10), Taif (n=3), Najran (n=2), Hail (n=1), and Hafr Al-Batin City (n=1) (Figure 3). In addition, two travel associated cases of MERS-CoV infection have been reported in France, with likely exposure occurring during recent travel in the Arabian Peninsula (Figure 3). This disease outbreak news report focuses on the recent nine cases of MERS-CoV infection reported between 4 June - 21 December 2025: seven cases from the KSA and the two imported cases to France. The details of cases reported earlier in 2025 can be referred to in the previously published disease outbreak news on 13 March 2025 and 12 May 2025 . Between 4 June and 21 December 2025, the MoH of the KSA reported a total of seven cases of MERS CoV infection. The cases were reported from three regions: Najran (2), Riyadh (3), and Taif (2). No epidemiological links were identified between the seven cases. In addition, between 2 and 3 of December 2025, the IHR NFP for France reported two cases of MERS – CoV with recent travel to the Arabian Peninsula during the month of November. Follow-up has been completed for all contacts and no secondary infections have been identified or reported. From September 2012, France has recorded a total of four laboratory-confirmed cases of MERS-CoV infection, including one death: two cases were reported in 2013, and the latest two cases in December 2025. All cases had been travelers exposed in the Arabian Peninsula and returning back to France. For additional details please see Table 1. Figure 1: Epidemic curve of MERS-CoV infections (2635) and deaths (964) reported globally between 2012-2025 Figure 2: Epidemic curve of MERS-CoV infections (2224) and deaths (868) reported in KSA between 2012-2025 Figure 3. Geographical distribution of MERS-CoV infections between 1 January and 21 December 2025 (n=19). Table 1: MERS-CoV cases reported by KSA and France between 4 June and 21 December 2025 | Social | WHO | |
| 19-12-2025 | 35 Battles events in Ethiopia (+59% vs previous week) | 35 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 59% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 31 locations including Achuwa, Metema, Senbete and 28 additional locations. These events resulted in 91 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 91 | ACLED |
| 19-12-2025 | 10 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (-9% vs previous week) | 10 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 9% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 10 locations including Addis Zemen, Adigrat, Ayana and 7 additional locations. List of events: 1. Change to group/activity: Recruitment: On 13 December 2025, TDF held a graduation ceremony for its newly recruited commando unit, the Army 15 Military Commando, in Adigrat, Adigrat town (Eastern Tigray, Tigray). The Head of the Peace and Security Bureau, the TDF Commanders of Southern, Western, and Northeastern Tigray, and the TPLF Central Committee Members attended the ceremony. The recruitment and training of new forces by TDF occurred amid renewed tensions with the Federal government over the full implementation of the Pretoria Peace Agreement. | 2. Agreement: On 13 December 2025, 167 Fano members and their leaders operating in Waldiba Monastery and the surrounding areas (location coded to the nearby town, May Hargets, Welkait, Western Tigray, Tigray) surrendered to the ENDF along with their weapons. | 3. Agreement: On 13 December 2025, 167 Fano militia members who were operating around Wali Daba and its surroundings surrendered to ENDF in Wali Diba (Chilga 1, Central Gondar, Amhara). | 4. Disrupted weapons use: Weapons seizure: On 14 December 2025, AFPO captured a large amount of ammunition destined for AFNF at an unspecified place in West Gondar Zone (location coded to the admin center Metema, West Gondar, Amhara). The ammunition was shipped by the TDF and loaded onto many mules, donkeys, and camels. The AFNF agreed to receive these large-scale quantities of ammunition and weapons from TDF without the AFPO's knowledge or engagement. This exclusion of AFPO from the discussion between the two parties clouded the merger discussion between AFPO and AFNF, which was initiated in October 2025. | 5. Other: Displacement: Around 15 December 2025 (month of), more than 1,000 people were displaced from the Ashu Kusaye, Gudina Jiregna, and Babu kebeles to Kiremu town, in Kiremu woreda (location coded to the admin center, Kiremu, East Wellega, Oromia) due to insecurity posed by armed clashes and violence in the area over recent months. | 6. Agreement: Around 16 December 2025 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militias surrendered to the ENDF in Libokemekem Wereda (location coded to the admin center, Addis Zemen, Libokemekem, South Gondar, Amhara). | 7. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 17 December 2025, ENDF and Federal Police deployed an unspecified number of personnel across several areas in the Gambella region (location coded to the regional administrative center, Gambela town, Agnewak, Gambela) to stabilize and control ethnic violence that had erupted across the region (coded separately). | 8. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 17 December 2025, suspected Fano members destroyed the Kebele Administration Office in Tullu Lenca (location coded to the admin center, Ayana, Gida Ayana, East Wellega, Oromia). | 9. Agreement: On 17 December 2025, an unspecified number of Fano militias (AFPO splinter faction) surrendered to ENDF in Goncha Siso Enebse Wereda (location coded to the admin center Gindewoin, Goncha Siso Enebse, East Gojam, Amhara). The Fano militias affiliated with AFPO are returning to the government following the agreement signed on 4 December 2025 by the government of Ethiopia and AFPO, led by Captain Masresha Sete (coded separately). | 10. Agreement: Around 18 December 2025 (as reported), 24 OLF-OLA fighters peacefully surrendered to the ENDF at an unspecified location in West Guji (coded to the admin center, Bule Hora town, Bule Hora, West Guji, Oromia). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 12-12-2025 | 22 Battles events in Ethiopia (-8% vs previous week) | 22 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 8% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 19 locations including Fendika, Amba Giorgis, Argagana Asfachew and 16 additional locations. These events resulted in 68 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 68 | ACLED |
| 12-12-2025 | 11 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (+10% vs previous week) | 11 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 10% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 8 locations including Amba Giorgis, Arbaya, Aykel and 5 additional locations. List of events: 1. Agreement: On 6 December 2025, around 30 Fano militia members operating in Wegera Wereda and its surrounding areas under the Gondere Begashaw division of Fano surrendered to the ENDF in Amba Giorgis (Wegera, Central Gondar, Amhara). The Fano members returned with weapons and ammunition they had used to fight the government. | 2. Agreement: Around 7 December 2025 (as reported), suspected Fano members who were operating in Gonder and its surroundings surrendered to the ENDF in Gonder (Gonder town, Central Gondar, Amhara). | 3. Agreement: On 7 December 2025, four members of the OLF-OLA peacefully surrendered to the government military in Kegni, Mida Kegn (Shewa, Oromia). The group also surrendered cash, 2 hand grenades, 4 rifles, and 2 pistols to the ENDF. | 4. Agreement: On 8 December 2025, an unspecified number of suspected Fano militia members surrendered to the ENDF in Weyira Ber and Senbete Kebeles of Wegera Wereda (location coded to the admin center Amba Giorgis, Wegera, Central Gondar, Amhara). The returned Fano soldiers brought weapons and ammunition they had used to fight the government. Another group of Fanos surrendered to the ENDF at the same place on the following day (coded separately). | 5. Agreement: On 9 December 2025, an unspecified number of Fano militia members (part of the AFPO splinter group) surrendered to the ENDF in Amba Giorgis (Wegera, Central Gondar, Amhara). The Fano members returned together with 22 Kalashnikov rifles, 03 old weapons, 03 hand bombs, and ammunition. Several Fano members were returning under the agreement signed between the government of Ethiopia and AFPO on 4 December 2025 (coded separately). | 6. Agreement: On 9 December 2025, for the second day, an unspecified number of suspected Fano militia members surrendered to the ENDF in Weyira Ber and Senbete Kebeles of Wegera Wereda (location coded to the admin center Amba Giorgis, Wegera, Central Gondar, Amhara). The returned Fano soldiers brought weapons and ammunition they had used to fight the government. | 7. Agreement: Around 9 December 2025 (as reported), an unspecified number of Fano militia members that were operating in Chilga Wereda surrendered to the ENDF in Aykel (Aykel town, Central Gondar, Amhara). The Fano members returned with weapons and ammunition they had used to fight the government. | 8. Change to group/activity: Security measures: On 9 December 2025, the Gambela regional state (coded as the Government of Ethiopia) imposed a night curfew in Gambella (Gambela town, Agnewak, Gambela) from 7:00 p.m. to 6:00 a.m. The curfew was imposed due to increased insecurity in the town, and the road is closed to all vehicles and pedestrians except for security forces. | 9. Agreement: Around 9 December 2025 (as reported), 21 Fano militia operating in the central Gondar zone surrendered to the ENDF (location coded to the nearest known town, Maksgnit town, Gonder Zuria, Central Gondar, Amhara). The returned Fano soldiers brought weapons and ammunition (Bren machine gun, Kalashnikov rifles, DShK rifles) that they had used to fight the government. The surrender event occurred as government security forces conducted an operation in the Mikael Debir, Maksegnit town, Ferefer, and Ferenj Wuha areas (no clashes reported). | 10. Agreement: Around 9 December 2025 (as reported), 33 Fano militia operating in Fendika and Libanos in Guzamn Wereda surrendered to the ENDF in Guzamn (location coded to Yebokela, Guzamn, East Gojam, Amhara). The returned Fano soldiers brought weapons and ammunition they had used to fight the government. | 11. Agreement: Around 12 December 2025 (as reported), 65 Fano militia members (part of the AFPO splinter group) operating in West Belesa Wereda surrendered to the ENDF and returned to their community in Arbaya (West Belesa, Central Gondar, Amhara). Several Fano members were returning under the agreement signed between the government of Ethiopia and AFPO on 4 December 2025 (coded separately). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 10-12-2025 | Seasonal influenza - Global situation | Globally, influenza activity has increased since October 2025 with influenza A viruses predominant among the viruses detected globally. In many northern hemisphere countries, acute respiratory infection levels increase at this time of year. These increases are typically caused by seasonal epidemics of respiratory pathogens such as influenza, respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) and other common respiratory viruses. The exact timing of the onset, the duration, magnitude and the severity of each epidemic might vary by location, influenced by multiple factors such as type of circulating viruses (including influenza and other respiratory pathogens), relative population immunity and environmental conditions. In the northern hemisphere, some countries have reported early starts to the influenza season. In other countries, influenza activity is starting to increase, but has not yet reached the epidemic threshold. In the southern hemisphere, some countries have had unusually long seasons compared to previous years, with virus activity remaining higher than usual in recent months. Global influenza surveillance and monitoring is conducted through the Global Influenza Surveillance and Response System (GISRS), a WHO-coordinated network of over 160 institutions in 131 Member States. GISRS is tasked with conducting year-round surveillance and monitoring of influenza viruses and serving as the global alert mechanism for the emergence of novel influenza viruses and other respiratory pathogens with pandemic potential. In the northern hemisphere temperate and sub-tropical countries, areas and territories, influenza activity was generally low from June to August 2025. Activity gradually increased in September and continued to increase through November 2025. Influenza A viruses, especially A(H3N2) viruses, predominated during this period (Fig. 1). In the southern hemisphere temperate and sub-tropical countries, areas and territories, influenza activity generally decreased from June 2025 and remained low through August. However, a slight increase has been observed since September. Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses predominated in June and July; however, A(H3N2) viruses have predominated since September (Fig. 2). In tropical areas, there has been sustained influenza activity from June through November. Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 viruses predominated through July. Since then, the proportion of influenza A(H3N2) viruses among reported detections has increased and has become predominant since the end of September (Fig. 3). Figure 1. Virus detections by subtype reported to FluNet, from 1 June to 30 November 2025 for the northern hemisphere temperate and sub-tropical countries, areas and territories. Source: GISRS: https://worldhealthorg.shinyapps.io/flunetchart/ Figure 2. Virus detections by subtype reported to FluNet, from 1 June to 30 November 2025, for the southern hemisphere temperate and sub-tropical countries, areas and territories. Source: GISRS: https://worldhealthorg.shinyapps.io/flunetchart/ Figure 3. Virus detections by subtype reported to FluNet, from 1 June to 30 November 2025, for tropical countries, areas and territories. Source: GISRS: https://worldhealthorg.shinyapps.io/flunetchart/ Genetic characteristics of recent seasonal influenza viruses Influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 and influenza B/Victoria lineage viruses continue to circulate in all regions albeit at low levels. Influenza A(H3N2) viruses Based on genetic sequence data available in GISAID , a mixture of A(H3N2) haemagglutinin (HA) clades and subclades are currently circulating globally; however, there has been a recent and rapid rise in a particular subclade of A(H3N2), J.2.4.1 (alias subclade K Nextclade / Nextstrain nomenclature). A(H3N2) subclade K viruses have genetically drifted from related J.2.4 viruses and have several amino acid changes in their HA in comparison. Detections of subclade K viruses are increasing in many parts of the world, with the exception, to date, of South America. Subclade K viruses were particularly evident from August 2025 in Australia and New Zealand and have now been detected in more than 34 countries over the last 6 months. Figure 4. Influenza A(H3N2) percent positivity reported for epidemiological week 48 (24 to 30 November) 2025 Source: GISRS: https://www.who.int/teams/global-influenza-programme/surveillance-and-monitoring/influenza-surveillance-outputs Overview of seasonal influenza by WHO Region African region Influenza detections in the WHO African Region overall increased in October with influenza A(H3N2) predominant. The timing and predominant virus varied by zone. In the western part of the region, influenza detections increased in September and October with A(H3N2) predominant since October. All seasonal subtypes have been detected continuously in the middle and eastern parts of the region. Influenza activity peaked in May 2025 in South Africa with almost exclusively A(H3N2) detections; in recent weeks influenza activity has increased slightly but remained low. Eastern Mediterranean Region While influenza activity in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region overall increased in October with A(H3N2) viruses predominant, there were variations by zone. In countries in the northern part of the region, influenza detections increased in October with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 predominant and lesser proportions of influenza A(H3N2) and B virus detections reported. In the Arabian Peninsula, influenza detections also increased in October but with influenza A(H3N2) viruses predominant. European Region As of 21 November 2025, reported rates of influenza-like illness (ILI) and/or acute respiratory infection (ARI) in primary care were at baseline levels for most countries and areas of the WHO European Region. However, detections were increasing and regionally pooled test percent positivity in primary care sentinel surveillance rose above 10% in weeks 45 and 46 (ending on 15 November), marking the start of the 2025/26 influenza season for the European Region. This was approximately four weeks earlier than the median, but not out of the ordinary, with epidemiological trends similar to those observed in the 2022/23 influenza season. Influenza activity was variable between countries, with those in the west of the Region generally seeing earlier increases of influenza indicators compared to others. Influenza admissions, detections, and percent positivity in hospital surveillance were also increasing from inter-seasonal levels, with a higher proportion aged 65 years or older. A majority of influenza detections from sentinel and non-sentinel primary care and hospital surveillance systems were A(H3N2) viruses. Region of the Americas During the 2025 southern hemisphere season in the Americas, influenza transmission exceeded the seasonal threshold in mid-March, remaining mostly at low to moderate levels. Circulation was driven by influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, reaching a peak positivity of 19%. Activity then declined to low levels until the end of August, when an increase in circulation was observed, associated with influenza A(H3N2) in Brazil and Chile. As of beginning of November, Chile remains at moderate levels of influenza A(H3N2) transmission, without evidence of increased severity or rises in outpatient consultations. As of 4 November 2025, subclade K had not been detected in South America. In the northern hemisphere countries of the Americas, during week 45 of 2025, seasonal influenza circulation remained low, with influenza A(H1N1)pdm09 predominating in the Caribbean and Central America. In North America, influenza activity—although still low—was increasing, mainly driven by influenza A virus detections. While most detections in Mexico were influenza A(H1N1)pdm09, a predominance of influenza A(H3N2) has been observed in the United States and Canada, with growing detections of the A(H3N2) subclade K. South-East Asia Region Influenza detections in the South-East Asia Region started increasing from Jun | Social | WHO | |
| 05-12-2025 | 24 Battles events in Ethiopia (-27% vs previous week) | 24 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 27% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 21 locations including Deger, Fendika, Jiga and 18 additional locations. These events resulted in 52 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 52 | ACLED |
| 05-12-2025 | 10 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (-9% vs previous week) | 10 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 9% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 9 locations including Addis Ababa, Beseku Ilala, Gonder and 6 additional locations. List of events: 1. Agreement: Around 29 November 2025 (as reported), suspected Fano members operating in Armachiho Wereda (location coded to the admin center Tikil Dingay, Tach Armacho, Central Gondar, Amhara) surrendered to government forces. The Fano members surrendered with various types of weapons. | 2. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 29 November 2025, ENDF burned down 5-9 houses belonging to more than 5 households in Beseku Ilala, Arsi Negele (West Arsi, Oromia). The reason was that the houses were sheltering OLF-OLA members. Most residents had already fled their homes about a month earlier due to insecurity. | 3. Agreement: Around 29 November 2025 (as reported), ENDF claimed that several middle-level and OLF-OLA fighters surrendered to ENDF, along with their weapons, at an unspecified location in East Borena (location coded to the admin center, Negele town, Negele, East Borena, formerly Guji, Oromia). | 4. Agreement: Around 30 November 2025 (as reported), 15 suspected Fano members operating in the East Dembiya and Gondar areas surrendered to government forces in Gonder (Gonder town, Central Gondar, Amhara). | 5. Agreement: Around 2 December 2025 (as reported), 14 suspected Fano members operating in West Gondar Zone surrendered to the ENDF in Menz Mama Wereda (location coded to the admin center Metema, West Gondar, Amhara). | 6. Non-violent transfer of territory: On 3 December 2025, ENDF, Amhara regional riot police, and Kebele militia took over Mikael Debir (Libokemekem, South Gondar, Amhara). Fano left the town following the deployment of a large number of government security forces. There was no clash between the two forces. The date of initial Fano control of the town is not known (not reported). | 7. Other: On 3 December 2025, the Federal Government has instructed all commercial banks to freeze and suspend accounts of the Endowment Fund for the Rehabilitation of Tigray (EFFORT), a conglomerate owned and affiliated with TPLF, leading to the freezing of bank accounts belonging to all companies under the conglomerate. EFFORT warned that the measure risks deepening Tigray's already fragile economic recovery and could force tens of thousands of employees out of work, creating broader social and economic disruptions. The latest account freezes come amid tensions between the TPLF and the Federal government. EFFORT companies' bank accounts were previously frozen two weeks after the outbreak of the Tigray war and were later reopened following the signing of the Pretoria agreement. Location coded to Addis Ababa, Lideta (Addis Ababa, Region 14). | 8. Agreement: On 4 December 2025, the Amhara Regional Government and a faction of the Amhara Fano Popular Organization (AFPO), signed the sustainable peace agreement in Lideta, Addis Ababa (Region 14). Regional chief administrator Arega Kebede and Captain Masresha Sete signed the peace deal. AFPO, led by Eskender Nega, however, stated that Masresha had previously been suspended on 29 November. AFPO released a statement announcing the suspension of two of its Executive Committee members, Masresha Setie and Mesfin Abate, adding that 'they have no mandate to speak on behalf of the AFPO and to connect with any institution.' | 9. Agreement: Around 5 December 2025 (as reported), suspected Fano members operating in Menz Mama Midir Wereda and its surroundings surrendered to the ENDF in Menz Mama Wereda (location coded to the admin center Molale, Menze Mama Midir, North Shewa, Amhara). | 10. Agreement: Around 5 December 2025 (as reported), suspected Fano members operating in Baso Liben Wereda surrendered to the ENDF in Baso Liben Wereda (location coded to the admin center Yejube, Baso Liben, East Gojam, Amhara). The surrendered Fano members include leaders of the Fano militia in the area. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 05-12-2025 | Broader transmission of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV – Global situation | Since the lifting of the second PHEIC for mpox on 5 September 2025, and as of 24 November 2025, 43 new confirmed cases of clade Ib MPXV have been reported across six WHO regions outside areas where sustained community transmission of this virus strain has been occurring. In four of these regions (Region of the Americas, South-East Asia Region, European Region and the Western Pacific Region), 24 cases had reported no recent international travel, suggesting local transmission. Based on this, Italy, Malaysia, the Netherlands, Portugal, Spain, and the United States of America are now considered to be experiencing community transmission of clade Ib MPXV. In addition, travel-related cases continue to be reported in many countries. Among the 43 cases, half (22) were documented among men who have sex with men, while other cases were linked to travel to countries with known community transmission of clade Ib, or secondary to travel-related cases (household contacts and/or sexual partners). This report provides an overview of these recent cases of mpox confirmed to be due to clade Ib MPXV, by WHO region and country, summarizing key available epidemiological information, followed by WHO’s rapid risk assessment and public health advice. Summary of reported mpox due to clade Ib MPXV in WHO Regions and countries from 5 September to 24 November 2025 WHO African Region Since the lifting of the PHEIC on 5 September 2025 and as of 24 November 2025, one country, Namibia, has reported clade Ib MPXV cases for the first time. Community transmission persists in Burundi, the Democratic Republic of the Congo, Kenya, Malawi, Mozambique, Republic of Congo, Rwanda, South Africa, the United Republic of Tanzania, Uganda, and Zambia. Namibia Namibia notified WHO of one probable and two confirmed cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV. The index (probable) case linked to travel within the African Region and the two confirmed cases were his household contacts. No further cases have been reported following detection of this cluster. These are the first cases of mpox reported in the country. WHO Region of the Americas Two countries in the WHO Americas Region have reported a total of four confirmed cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV. One case detected in Canada had recently travelled, while three cases in the United States of America had no recent travel history or known epidemiological links to travellers. Canada Canada notified WHO of one confirmed mpox case due to clade Ib MPXV in an adult male with recent travel outside of the country and reporting no sexual partners after returning to Canada. The case received counselling on preventing further transmission. United States of America The United States of America reported three unrelated cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV in Long Beach (one case) and Los Angeles (two cases) counties, California. All three occurred among men who have sex with men, none of whom had a history of recent international travel or known exposure to mpox cases. None of the individuals had a previous MPXV infection or prior orthopoxvirus vaccination, and one case was immunocompromised. All three individuals were hospitalized, received standard medical care, and have fully recovered. Prior to the lifting of the PHEIC, the United States of America had reported six cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV, all linked to travel. Public health authorities conducted contact tracing among household, healthcare-facility and social contacts. No additional cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV have been detected to date. Public health investigations suggest ongoing community transmission of clade Ib MPXV among men who have sex with men and their social networks in southern California. Viral genomic sequencing data indicate that the three California cases may be linked to a previously reported case in the country in August 2025. WHO South-East Asia Region From 5 September to 24 November 2025, five cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV have been reported in the WHO South-East Asia Region, all in Thailand. All cases had a recent history of international travel and three self-identified as men who have sex with men. Thailand Thailand notified WHO of five new cases of mpox cases due to clade Ib MPXV. The cases included four males, three of whom self-identified as men who have sex with men, and one female. Travel histories indicate associations with recent travel to the United Arab Emirates, Oman, and the Russian Federation, where exposure to infection is likely to have occurred. Prior to 5 September, Thailand had reported five cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV, all of which were associated with international travel. WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region Three countries in the WHO Eastern Mediterranean Region, Egypt, Lebanon and Qatar have reported six cases of mpox. Although the clade was not documented in Egypt and Lebanon, two cases attributed to clade Ib MPXV were reported in Qatar. Qatar Qatar notified WHO of two cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV. One adult male and one adult female, linked to travel within the Eastern Mediterranean Region. Prior to this period, Qatar had reported three cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV, all of which were associated with international travel. WHO European Region Countries in the WHO European Region have reported a total of 27 mpox cases due to clade Ib MPXV. Of these, 18 cases were classified as autochthonous, with no relevant history of recent international travel, suggesting undetected community transmission (Italy, the Netherlands, Portugal, and Spain). Two cases (reported from Belgium and the United Kingdom) were related to travel within Europe and five cases to travel outside of Europe (East Africa, Uganda, United Arab Emirates), either to or from countries experiencing community transmission of clade Ib MPXV but also to or from countries where no community transmission has been reported, including Angola, the United Arab Emirates, and Viet Nam. Furthermore, at least 15 of the 27 cases, and 14 of the 18 locally acquired cases occurred among individuals who self-identified as men who have sex with men. Belgium Belgium reported to WHO one case of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV with recent travel to the Netherlands. This individual reported having had multiple sexual contacts with other men while in the Netherlands. Prior to 5 September, Belgium had reported six mpox cases caused by clade Ib MPXV, all linked to travel. France France notified WHO of one case of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV in an adult male traveller who had returned from East Africa. Prior to this period, France had reported three cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV, all linked to travel. Germany Germany notified WHO of three cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV. All three cases had a recent history of international travel: one, an adult male who had travelled to Angola, another an adult female who had travelled to Uganda, and the third, an adult male who had travelled to Viet Nam. Uganda has community transmission of clade Ib and Viet Nam has not previously reported cases of this subclade. Prior to 5 September, Germany had reported 12 mpox cases due to clade Ib MPXV, most of which were linked to travel. Greece Greece notified WHO of its first case of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV, in an adult male with a recent history of travel to the United Arab Emirates before arriving in Greece. Ireland Ireland reported two cases linked to a small cluster which was reported before 5 September 2025. The index case had history of recent travel outside Europe. The first locally acquired case was a child ( Italy Italy notified WHO of two cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV in adult males who had no history of recent international travel or known contact with mpox cases. There was no epidemiological link between these cases. Epidemiological investigations and contact tracing were conducted, and no additional cases were identified. The identification of these cases of mpox due to clade Ib MPXV in Italy, without any l | Social | WHO | |
| 05-12-2025 | Health authorities reported no new Marburg cases yesterday and Wednesday , marking the first two -day pause since the outbreak in mid-November | Health authorities reported no new Marburg cases yesterday and Wednesday , marking the first two -day pause since the outbreak in mid-November . There are 13 confirmed cases, eight deaths, four recoveries and one patient still under treatment ; continued vigilance is advised due to the virus's long incubation period and considerable population movement s (see also UNOCC Daily of 24 November and 1 December) . | Social, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 30-11-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 30 November 2025, suspected ENDF soldiers killed 11 civilians (fatalities uncorroborated) in Merkegn Kebele in Jabi Tehnan Wereda (location coded to the admin center, Jiga, Jabi Tehnan, West Gojam, Amhara). The suspected ENDF soldiers killed the victims in retaliation for a clash with Fano at a nearby place on the same date (coded separately). Uncorroborated number of fatalities coded as 10. | Conflict | Fatalities: 10 | ACLED |
| 30-11-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 30 November 2025, suspected OLF-OLA stopped a vehicle carrying approximately 20 Orthodox Christians, including clergy and priests, returning from Harato Mariam to Shambu town, and abducted 10 near Shambu (Horo Guduru Wellega, Oromia). The remaining passengers escaped. The armed group took the abducted individuals to the forest, released 6 after confirming they were not on their list, and took the remaining four, including the head of the Horo Guduru Diocese and three other priests, to an unknown location. Additionally, the armed group killed 2 of the abducted priests and released the two others on 12 December (coded separately). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-11-2025 | 33 Battles events in Ethiopia (+32% vs previous week) | 33 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 32% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 32 locations including Chandiba, Agut, Aliyu Amba and 29 additional locations. These events resulted in 138 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 138 | ACLED |
| 28-11-2025 | 11 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (+120% vs previous week) | 11 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 120% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 10 locations including Habru, Asosa, Bore Chilalo and 7 additional locations. List of events: 1. Change to group/activity: Recruitment: On 23 November 2025, the Wolkayt-Tsegede-Setit-Humera Zone (under the Amhara region and with the ENDF's training support) held a graduation ceremony of the third batch of newly recruited and trained local militias, dubbed as 'Tekeze Zeb' (meaning 'the Tekeze Guards') in May Cadera, May Kadra town (Western Tigray, Tigray). An ENDF colonel said that the training is not intended to start a war but to prevent it, and to make those who would resort to force aware of the existence of sufficient preparation and to pursue a peaceful alternative. ENDF's 63rd Division provided the training to the 'Tekeze Zeb' militias. This round of graduation marks the third of its kind in Western Tigray, which has been under the Amhara regional state administration since November 2020 and is one of the disputed territories between the Amhara and Tigray Regional States. | 2. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 23 November 2025, ENDF burned down 12 to 20 houses belonging to civilians in Bore Chilalo, Tiyo (Arsi, Oromia), accusing the owners of being supporters of the OLF. | 3. Agreement: On 24 November 2025, the Boro Democratic Party general council held a second emergency meeting and passed a decision to dissolve itself and merge with Prosperity Party in Bulen (Metekel, Benshangul/Gumuz). The two parties drafted an agreement document to formalize the merger. Five executive members of the Boro Democratic Party's leadership opposed the merger. They accused the party's chairman of conspiring with the Benishangul Gumuz region branch of the Prosperity Party to dissolve the party. | 4. Disrupted weapons use: Weapons seizure: Around 24 November 2025 (as reported), ENDF claimed to have seized various types of weapons and arrested the Fano logistic officers (smugglers) at an unspecified place in Habru Wereda (location coded to Habru, North Wello, Amhara). | 5. Agreement: Around 25 November 2025 (as reported), 9 OLF-OLA fighters, including the group's deputy leader, surrendered with all their weapons to ENDF at an unspecified location, Meta Walkite (location coded to the admin center, Minare, West Shewa, Oromia). | 6. Agreement: Around 26 November 2025 (as reported), 15 Fano members operating in Kul Bayine Kebele of Habru Wereda surrendered to the ENDF in Habru (North Wello, Amhara). | 7. Agreement: On 26 November 2025, an unidentified armed group that was operating in Guba Wereda of the Benishangul Gumuz region and the bordering areas of South Sudan laid down their weapons and surrendered to the government of Ethiopia in Asosa (Assosa, Benshangul/Gumuz). | 8. Other: On 26 November 2025, TPLF held a press conference in Mekele town, Mekelle (Mekelle, Tigray, Tigray) and announced the 'withdrawal of Amhara regional militants from western Tigray,' 'the dismantling of temporary administrative structures by the Amhara region,' and 'the removal of new settlers' are its preconditions before Tigrayan IDPs can return to their villages in Western Tigray. The TPLF also stated that it opposes the return of IDPs by the federal government without the supervision of Tigray's interim administration and security forces. Additionally, the TPLF accused the federal government of trying to exclude it from the next national election and involving other allies, warning that elections cannot be held in Tigray without the TPLF's participation and that it will not negotiate its legal status as a political party. | 9. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: Around 27 November 2025 (as reported), suspected ENDF soldiers burned various books, education materials, and furniture of Kibeb Sholame school near Gebeze Mariam (Quarit, West Gojam, Amhara). | 10. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 27 November 2025, ENDF and local militias (coded as Kebele Communal Militias) burned down 4 houses of residents in Chabi Kame (location coded to the admin center, Timuga) in Shanan Kolu (Arsi, Oromia). The reason for the arson was that the houses were sheltering OLF-OLA members. Among the burned houses, two were inhabited by families, while the other two belonged to families who had already fled to nearby towns due to insecurity. | 11. Disrupted weapons use: Weapons seizure: Around 28 November 2025 (as reported), ENDF claimed to have seized a DShK rifle destined for Fano in Weldiya (Woldiya town, North Wello, Amhara). According to the ENDF statement, the weapon was smuggled by Fano logistic personnel in an ISUZU vehicle from Bahir Dar and controlled before reaching its destination in Dessie. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-11-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 November 2025, an unidentified armed group killed 2 people (uncorroborated fatalities) in Meki, Dugda (East Shewa, Oromia). No further details available. | Conflict | Fatalities: 2 | ACLED |
| 27-11-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 27 November 2025, gunmen affiliated with the TPLF-led Tigray Interim Administration (coded as TDF) abducted several civilians, including an Orthodox Christian Priest in Korem town, Korem (Southern Tigray, Tigray). The gunmen demanded up to 1 million birr ransom for the release of the abducted religious father and youth. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 27-11-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 27 November 2025, government security forces (likely ENDF and Kebele militias due to their joint operation in the area) killed 3 civilians (a father and two youths) in Malima Bara, Bora (East Shewa, Oromia), after accusing them of being OLF-OLA supporters. | Conflict | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 27-11-2025 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 27 November 2025, overnight, an unidentified armed group placed an unknown explosive device that detonated near the upper entrance gate of Mekelle University's Adi Haqi Campus in the Adi Haqi neighborhood in Mekele, Mekelle (Mekelle Tigray, Tigray). There were no casualties. Some sources claimed that the explosion had targeted the residence of the Peace and Security head of the region. Eyewitnesses said that some windows of the nearby residential homes were broken. The Mekelle City Peace and Security Sector Office said the incident was 'deliberately orchestrated,' and that regional and city security institutions are working together to identify and apprehend those responsible. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 26-11-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 26 November 2025, Fano killed an 80-year-old elder at a place known as Laga Wancii, in Tulu Gundo (location coded to the admin center, Gundo Meskel, Dera, North Shewa, Oromia). The armed group had abducted the elder on 1 October (coded separately), and demanded 700,000 birr in ransom. However, after receiving the ransom, they killed him and left his body. | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 26-11-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 26 November 2025, suspected OLF-OLA members were accused of kidnapping at least 15 farmers in Mechitu Leman, Inkolo Wabe (Arsi, Oromia), while they were harvesting their crops. The group released 11 of the kidnapped individuals after receiving an unspecified ransom. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 26-11-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 26 November 2025 (as reported), a Fano member amputated the hand of a civilian with an axe and cut off one of his ears in Kire (Were Ilu, South Wello, Amhara). The perpetrator placed the hand of the victim against a rock and cut it. The video footage was recovered from the perpetrator's phone after he surrendered to the government forces. Fano issued a statement denying its participation in the act and requested an independent investigation into the attack and accountability based on the investigation report. The victim survived. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 26-11-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 26 November 2025, OLF-OLA abducted 4 Oromia Regional Prosecutors and their driver in Hara, Jimma Arjo (East Wellega, Oromia). The prosecutors were traveling from Jimma to Nekemte for government business when they were abducted. Security forces responded to the incident, pursuing and clashing with the armed group at an unknown forest location a few hours later, and managed to rescue the driver, while one hostage was killed and another injured during the fighting (coded separately). The armed group released the two prosecutors on 5 December. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 26-11-2025 | OCHA estimate s that 18,000 people have been displaced in Megale Woreda , Afar Region, since November due to renewed conflict between Tigrayan factions | OCHA estimate s that 18,000 people have been displaced in Megale Woreda , Afar Region, since November due to renewed conflict between Tigrayan factions. Most are sheltering in overcrowded collective centres, facing severe shortages of food, water, shelter, healthcare and education . | Political, Social | UNOCC | |
| 24-11-2025 | Citing health authorities, WHO last Friday confirmed the first outbreak of Marburg virus disease (MVD) in Jinka own (South Ethiopia Regional State) with six laboratory -confirmed cases, and three | Citing health authorities, WHO last Friday confirmed the first outbreak of Marburg virus disease (MVD) in Jinka own (South Ethiopia Regional State) with six laboratory -confirmed cases, and three associated deaths . Comment : MVD is a severe, often fatal illness, transmitted from bats to humans with a case fatality ratio of up to 88 per cent, but can be lower with early patient care. | Social | UNOCC | |
| 21-11-2025 | 25 Battles events in Ethiopia (-17% vs previous week) | 25 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 17% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 20 locations including Dabat, Ataye Town, Shewa Robit and 17 additional locations. These events resulted in 96 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 96 | ACLED |
| 21-11-2025 | Marburg virus disease- Ethiopia | As of 20 November 2025, 33 laboratory tests have been conducted, of which six confirmed cases, including three deaths, have been reported. Of the six confirmed cases, three are currently alive and on treatment. In addition to the lab-confirmed cases, a further three epidemiologically linked cases could not be tested; all three are deceased and recorded as probable cases. A total of 206 contacts have been identified, and contacts are under active follow-up. The number of contacts will continue to change as the response evolves. Clinically, patients have presented with high-grade fever, headache, vomiting, abdominal pain, and watery or bloody diarrhoea. Haemorrhagic manifestations, including nose bleeding and vomiting blood were observed in five cases, consistent with multi-organ failure. As this is the first time Ethiopia is reporting MVD, WHO recommends that samples be shared with a reference laboratory for inter-laboratory comparison. Figure 1: Map of Ethiopia showing location of Jinka town | Social | WHO | |
| 14-11-2025 | 30 Battles events in Ethiopia (-30% vs previous week) | 30 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 30% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 28 locations including Gundo Meskel, Lalibela, Addis Kidame and 25 additional locations. These events resulted in 118 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 118 | ACLED |
| 14-11-2025 | Epidemic / Viral disease in Ethiopia: Marburg | Deaths: 14; Location: Hawassa, Jinka and Sodo cities; Oromia, SNNP, Addis Ababa, Sidama; DisNo: 2025-0965-ETH; Event_Start: 2025-11-14; EMDAT_Last_Update: 2026-05-04 | Environmental | EMDAT | |
| 07-11-2025 | 43 Battles events in Ethiopia (-12% vs previous week) | 43 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 12% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 38 locations including Addis Kidame, Ayana, Fendika and 35 additional locations. These events resulted in 167 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 167 | ACLED |
| 31-10-2025 | 49 Battles events in Ethiopia (+44% vs previous week) | 49 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 44% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 44 locations including Afezez Berkato, Enewari, Lemi and 41 additional locations. These events resulted in 182 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 182 | ACLED |
| 31-10-2025 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 31 October 2025, Fano threw a grenade at Amhara state police members and other government security forces (likely ENDF and Kebele militia from the location and prior events) in Iste (East Esite, South Gondar), injuring the Wereda police commander and several other security members. The grenade attack occurred in the Tarekegn Metasebiya hotel, where Fano threw a grenade into a social gathering of local security personnel. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-10-2025 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 31 October 2025 (as reported), 264 suspected Kebele militia members surrendered to Fano in Mida Woremo Wereda (location coded to admin center Rema, Mida Woremo, North Shewa, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 31-10-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 31 October 2025, an unidentified armed group killed 1 commercial vehicle driver in Sebeha between Infranz and Addis Zemen (Libokemekem, South Gondar, Amhara). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 30-10-2025 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 30 October 2025 (as reported), over 120 Fano militia members operating in Dabat Wereda surrendered to ENDF in Dabat Wereda (location coded to admin center Dabat, Dabat town, North Gondar, Amhara). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-10-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 30 October 2025, an unidentified armed group killed 1 commercial vehicle driver in Woji (Fogera, South Gondar, Amhara). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 29-10-2025 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Tigray | On 29 October 2025, 14 members of the Tigray Defense Forces (TDF) who had entered from Sudan peacefully surrendered to the Ethiopian National Defense Force (ENDF) near Lugdi, a border village between Ethiopia and Sudan, close to May Cadera, May Kadra (Western Tigray, Tigray). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-10-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 29 October 2025, suspected OLF-OLA killed 6 ethnic Amhara residents in Seyo, Dano (West Shewa, Oromia). No further information. | Conflict | Fatalities: 6 | ACLED |
| 29-10-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 29 October 2025, an unidentified armed group abducted a medical staff member of Metema Hospital in Metema (West Gondar, Amhara). The perpetrator initially demanded 3.5 million as a ransom, but killed the victim after receiving 600 ETB, and his body was uncovered on 10 November 2025 (coded separately). Police arrested six medical staff (victims' colleagues) and seven individuals working in or living near the restaurant where the victim was first abducted. Police released all the medical staff arrested in connection with the victim's abduction. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-10-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 28 October 2025, an unidentified armed group killed 1 commercial vehicle driver near Ambisi (Sekela, West Gojam, Amhara). | Conflict | Fatalities: 1 | ACLED |
| 28-10-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 October 2025, overnight, an unidentified armed group opened fire and killed 5 civilians (identified as Orthodox Christians) in Bekeksa Wabe (also known as Siltana), Inkolo Wabe (Arsi, Oromia). The victims were members of the same families. The armed group also abducted an Orthodox Church servant. The Ethiopian Orthodox Church's Holy Synod has condemned the attack and urged all levels of government to ensure accountability, protect citizens' rights to life and freedom of religion, and take immediate measures to prevent further attacks. The Church called on authorities to publicly denounce the killings and restore security guarantees for Christians in affected areas. | Conflict | Fatalities: 5 | ACLED |
| 24-10-2025 | 34 Battles events in Ethiopia (-31% vs previous week) | 34 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 31% decrease compared to the previous week, affecting 30 locations including Checheho, Istayish, Mekoy and 27 additional locations. These events resulted in 161 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 161 | ACLED |
| 21-10-2025 | Rail in Ethiopia | Deaths: 14; Affected: 29; Location: Shinele (Somali region); DisNo: 2025-0909-ETH; Event_Start: 2025-10-21; EMDAT_Last_Update: 2025-10-24 | Technological | EMDAT | |
| 20-10-2025 | OHCHR describes intense clashes in Amhara Region last wee k, with Fano militia reportedly having some tactical successes | OHCHR describes intense clashes in Amhara Region last wee k, with Fano militia reportedly having some tactical successes. The militia is credited with gaining c ontrol of Genete town in South Wollo Zone on October; violence has also spread to Awi and East Gojjam zones, severely restricting people's freedom of movement. In Tigray Region, the past week has seen pro tests by some members of the Tigray Security Forces, prompting Tigray's interim administration cabinet to hold an emergency meeting on 15 October. | Political, Technological | UNOCC | |
| 17-10-2025 | 11 Strategic developments events in Ethiopia (up from 3 previous week) | 11 Strategic developments events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This is up from 3 events in the previous week, affecting 10 locations including Mekele, Addi Arkay, Adi Gebru and 7 additional locations. List of events: 1. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 11 October 2025, hundreds of buses carrying ENDF troops were seen in the May Tsemre, May Tsebri, Tselmt (North Western Tigray, Tigray), and in Adi Arkay woredas of North Gondar (coded separately), traveling toward the Tekeze River in preparation for a potential escalation of conflict and to counter possible infiltration of TDF in Tselemt. | 2. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 11 October 2025, hundreds of buses carrying ENDF troops were seen in Addi Arkay, Addi Arkay (North Gondar, Amhara), and in Tselemt and May Tsebre woredas (coded separately), traveling toward the Tekeze River in preparation for a potential escalation of conflict and to counter possible infiltration of TDF in Tselemt. | 3. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 11 October 2025, TDF forces were seen in Tsimbla advancing toward the Tekeze River in North Western Tigray (location coded to Adi Gebru, Tigray). | 4. Change to group/activity: Movement of forces: On 11 October 2025, the ENDF deployed a large number of soldiers and weapons, including tanks and other mechanized equipment, in Kobo (Kobo town, North Wello, Amhara). | 5. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 11 October 2025, overnight, OLF-OLA members burned a building that hosts the Berber Kebele administration office in Berber (Debati, Metekel, Benshangul/Gumuz). The fire destroyed the offices and their contents, including rosters, chairs, and shelves. The OLF-OLA arsoned the town's municipality in June 2025 (coded separately). The head of Bulen Wereda administration denied the burning of the offices by OLF-OLA and stated 'thieves' attempted to burn 'the files in the offices'. | 6. Other: On 12 October 2025, ENDF apprehended 5 suspected members of the OLF-OLA in Ambo town, Ambo (West Shewa, Oromia), during the annual cultural and religious event widely celebrated in Ambo. According to local sources, the suspects were seen carrying firearms while heading toward the celebration site. Civilians who noticed them reported the information to local police. In response, ENDF managed to apprehend the suspects before any disturbance or harm occurred. Authorities have not yet released detailed information regarding the motives of the individuals or whether additional suspects are being sought. The incident took place amid heightened security measures during the Irreecha celebration. Community members expressed relief that the celebration concluded peacefully despite the disruption attempt. There were no exchanges of fire. | 7. Agreement: Around 14 October 2025 (as reported), an unspecified number of OLF-OLA militia surrendered to ENDF in Bulen (Bulen, Metekel; Benshangul/Gumuz). | 8. Agreement: On 15 October 2025, the Interim Regional Administration of Tigray (IRAT) held talks with members of TDF in Mekele (Mekelle, Tigray) who had been protesting for three days over unpaid salaries and benefits, blocking roads leading to the regional capital, Mekelle (coded separately). The president promised that his administration would pay them what it could afford and told the protesters that a draft mechanism on their pay was at its 'final stage' before being sent to the TDF for discussion. Over 200,000 ex-combatants of the former rebel Tigray People's Liberation Front (TPLF) remain active despite a plan to demobilize them, as per a peace agreement the TPLF and the federal government signed in 2022 to end the Tigray conflict. | 9. Looting/property destruction: Property destruction: On 15 October 2025, ENDF burned down and destroyed at least 10 to 15 homes belonging to residents in Jabi Kame Kebele (location coded to admin center, Timuga) in Shanan Koluu (Arsi, Oromia), after accusing the owners of supporting OLF-OLA. | 10. Other: Displacement: Around 15 October 2025 (between 14 - 16 October), several ethnic Amhara residents were displaced from Ganji, Nole Kabba, Sayo Nole, Kiltu Kara, Begi, and Haru woredas of the West Wellega zone (location coded to the zonal admin center, Nejo town, Nejo, Oromia). The displacement took place amid security concerns followed by warnings from OLF-Shane members instructing ethnic Amhara residents to stop providing financial assistance or sharing information with the Fano armed group. | 11. Other: On 17 October 2025, the Interim Regional Administration of Tigray (IRAT) announced that the regional council approved a regulation governing the Tigray Security Forces' benefits in Mekele (Mekelle Tigray, Tigray) in response to the demands by TDF combatants who were protesting over unpaid salaries and benefits across the region. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 17-10-2025 | 49 Battles events in Ethiopia (+44% vs previous week) | 49 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 44% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 46 locations including Addis Kidame, Rema, Tekulesh and 43 additional locations. These events resulted in 157 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 157 | ACLED |
| 17-10-2025 | OCHA warns that recent livestock disease outbreaks in Afder Zone are likely to compound the vulnerable humanitarian situation faced by pastoralists in Somali Region | OCHA warns that recent livestock disease outbreaks in Afder Zone are likely to compound the vulnerable humanitarian situation faced by pastoralists in Somali Region . Since September, an anthrax outbreak has killed over 14,300 livestock and threatens 185,000 more , and a highly contagious viral disease affecting sheep and goats has killed over 40,800 additional animals and put 355,000 more at risk . According to OCHA, t hese outbreaks endanger both human health and pastoralist livelihoods, particularly livestoc k exports to Gulf countries . In addition, l imited funding and capacity are hindering response efforts . | Social | UNOCC | |
| 16-10-2025 | OCHA continues to monitor the situation along the Or omia-Somali border , where an estimated 291, people in both regions have been displaced by expanding levels of intercommunal violence | OCHA continues to monitor the situation along the Or omia-Somali border , where an estimated 291, people in both regions have been displaced by expanding levels of intercommunal violence . Escalating violence has been reported since July , with the latest clashes in Bale Zone displac ing another 3, persons . The situation remains fluid and displacement is reportedly still ongoing. | Technological | UNOCC | |
| 15-10-2025 | Ethnic militias clash with government forces, increasing unrest and fatalities. | The armed conflict and unrest mainly occurred in the Amhara and Oromia regions of Ethiopia, with significant events also in North Wello and Tigray. The clashes, primarily between Fano militias and government forces like the ENDF, stemmed from opposition to government control, territorial disputes, ethnic tensions, and unmet political promises. Alleged external support and the involvement of various regional and ethnic militias further fueled the instability, causing civilian displacements and fatalities. | Conflict | Medium concern | HDX Signals |
| 11-10-2025 | Earthquake / Ground movement in Ethiopia | Deaths: 1; Affected: 43,009; Location: Afar and Tigray regions; DisNo: 2025-0867-ETH; Event_Start: 2025-10-11; EMDAT_Last_Update: 2025-10-20 | Environmental | EMDAT | |
| 10-10-2025 | 34 Battles events in Ethiopia (+13% vs previous week) | 34 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. This represents a 13% increase compared to the previous week, affecting 31 locations including Dembecha, Ejere, Omorate and 28 additional locations. These events resulted in 104 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 104 | ACLED |
| 03-10-2025 | 30 Battles events in Ethiopia | 30 Battles events were recorded in Ethiopia during this week. Comparable prior-week data was not available, affecting 26 locations including Tenta, Weldiya, Ajebar and 23 additional locations. These events resulted in 126 reported fatalities. | Conflict | Fatalities: 126 | ACLED |
| 03-10-2025 | Chikungunya virus disease- Global situation | Global overview Globally as of December 2024, current or previous autochthonous transmission of CHIKV had been reported from 119 countries and territories across six WHO regions. In addition, 27 countries and territories had evidence of established and competent Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus vector populations but had not yet documented autochthonous CHIKV transmission. Per available data from January to September 2025, 263 592 suspected and 181 679 confirmed CHIKV disease cases and 155 CHIKV disease-related deaths have been reported globally. While certain WHO Regions are reporting lower case numbers compared to 2024, others are experiencing marked increases. This heterogeneity in regional trends complicates the interpretation of a global increase. Instead, the data suggest localized resurgence or emergence in specific geographic areas. The region of the Americas has reported the highest number of cases followed by the European region (comprised of cases reported predominantly from French Overseas Departments in the Indian Ocean). Table 1: Number of suspected and confirmed CHIKV disease cases and deaths by region in 2025, as of September 2025. *Note: the date of last report varies by country Figure 1: Geographical distribution of CHIKV disease cases as reported to WHO or Publicly shared by Ministries of Health from January to September 2025 Regional overview African region As of September 2025, a total of 2197 suspected and 108 confirmed CHIKV disease cases have been reported from four countries: Comoros, Kenya, Mauritius, and Senegal with Mauritius recording the highest number of cases. In Comoros, between 1 January to 31 May 2025 (epi week 1 and epi week 22), a total of four confirmed cases have been reported, while Senegal reported seven confirmed cases. In Mauritius, a total of 1583 cases have been reported between 15 March to 4 August 2025 (epi week 12 to epi week 32), including 1543 local and 40 imported cases. There have been no reported deaths. In Kenya, a chikungunya outbreak was confirmed in Mombasa County as of 8 June 2025 (epi week 23). By 6 July 2025 (epi week 27), a total of 614 cases had been recorded, including 97 laboratory-confirmed cases. Since then, no further cases have been reported. No chikungunya-related deaths have been recorded to date. Eastern Mediterranean Region As of September 2025, a total of 1596 suspected, and 67 confirmed CHIKV disease cases have been reported from Pakistan and Somalia. In Pakistan, CHIKV disease cases in 2025 have been reported at rates similar to those in 2024. A notable increase occurred between 4 May to 21 June 2025 (epi weeks 19 to 25), with 101 to 121 suspected CHIKV disease cases reported per week during this period. In Somalia, a chikungunya outbreak has been confirmed in Sool region, with 488 suspected cases reported between January and June 2025. Eight out of 10 samples tested were laboratory-confirmed for chikungunya. Somalia has also recorded imported travel related cases. European Region As of 15 September 2025, two European countries—France and Italy—have reported locally acquired cases of CHIKV disease. France has recorded 479 cases distributed across 54 clusters, with 40 clusters currently active. Italy has reported 205 locally acquired cases distributed across four clusters of which three clusters are currently active. A total of 56 456 CHIKV disease cases, and 40 deaths, have been reported from four countries in the European region in 2025. In France, the increased incidence of CHIKV outbreaks in 2025 represent a deviation from observed patterns in previous years . In 2024, only one CHIKV disease case was reported. The larger number of chikungunya cases this year, along with their early onset, are linked to an epidemic in La Réunion and the broader Indian Ocean region, driven by a viral strain that is highly adapted to the Aedes albopictus mosquito. In the French overseas department of La Réunion, a total of 54 517 confirmed cases and 40 deaths have been reported in 2025 (as of 14 September). There has been a steady decline in new cases since 26 April (epi week 17) indicating that the outbreak is waning. This marks the first autochthonous transmission of chikungunya on the island since 2014. In Mayotte, following two imported cases from La Réunion, the first locally acquired CHIKV disease case was confirmed in March 2025. As of 18 September 2025, a total of 1255 locally acquired cases, including 39 hospitalizations, have been reported . The transmission receded since August with only a few cases reported per week on average. Region of the Americas As of 20 September 2025, CHIKV disease transmission continues across the Americas in line with expected seasonal patterns. A total of 228 591 suspected cases have been reported from 14 countries, including 100 329 confirmed cases and 115 deaths. In Bolivia, a total of 5372 CHIKV disease cases have been reported, 73% of which are laboratory confirmed, along with four deaths. The outbreak primarily affected the department of Santa Cruz with 99% of cases (n=3905, including four deaths). Additionally, cases were reported in the departments of Beni, Chuquisaca, Cochabamba, Pando, and Tarija. Brazil accounts for nearly 96% of all reported cases and deaths in the region, with 96 159 confirmed cases and 111 deaths. In Cuba, between 1 January to 20 September, 34 cases of chikungunya were reported, all confirmed by laboratory by RT-PCR test, in the provinces of Guantanamo, La Habana, Matanzas, Pinar del Rio and Santiago de Cuba. Public health interventions have been implemented. South- East Asia Region As of early September 2025, over 34 628 CHIKV disease cases, both suspected and confirmed, have been reported in the WHO South-East Asia region, primarily from India and Bangladesh. In India, between 1 January and 31 March 2025, a total of 30 876 suspected cases and 1741 confirmed cases were reported. The states reporting the highest number of confirmed cases were Maharashtra, Karnataka and Tamil Nadu. In Bangladesh, the Institute of Epidemiology, Disease Control and Research between reported a total of 732 suspected CHIKV disease cases in Dhaka city between 1 January and 31 August 2025. Of these, 400 cases were laboratory-confirmed by RT-PCR. In Sri Lanka, a total of 151 confirmed CHIKV disease cases were reported from sentinel sites in Colombo, Gampaha and Kandy between 1 January 2025 and the second week of March 2025. According to the Epidemiology Unit Division situation report, dated 31 August 2025, the CHIKV disease cases continued to increase and peaked in June 2025. Over half of the reported cases were from the Western Province, with Colombo District alone reporting 33%. The most affected age group was 41–60 years (36.4%), although an increasing trend was noted among children. In Thailand, a total of 1128 CHIKV disease cases were reported between 1 January and 14 September 2025. Bueng Kan (142), Chiang Mai (411), and Loei (125) are the provinces reporting the most cases. The age distribution of cases is: 0-4 years 2%, 5-9 years 3%, 10-14 years 6%, 15-19 years 4%, 20-29 years 9%, 30-39 years 17%, 40-49 years 17%, 50-59 years 16%, ≥ 60 years 26%. Western Pacific Region A total of 21 299 CHIKV disease cases including four countries reporting imported cases, with no deaths, have been reported from 16 countries and areas in the Western Pacific region in 2025. Of these, five countries reported local transmission, six reported imported cases, and five reported no cases during the year. In China (excluding Hong Kong SAR, Macao SAR, and Taiwan, China), as of 27 September 2025, a total of 16 452 locally transmitted cases has been reported in Guangdong Province. All cases were laboratory-confirmed. This represents the largest documented chikungunya outbreak to date in China. The cases have been reported in 21 cities, mainly in Foshan City (10032), Jiangmen City (5209), Guangzhou City (590), Shenzhen City (128), Zhanjiang City (112), Zhu | Social | WHO | |
| 01-10-2025 | Collapse (Industrial) in Ethiopia: Scaffolding on a church | Deaths: 36; Affected: 200; Location: Arerti; DisNo: 2025-0845-ETH; Event_Start: 2025-10-01; EMDAT_Last_Update: 2025-10-20 | Technological | EMDAT | |
| 30-09-2025 | Riots in Ethiopia, Sidama | On 30 September 2025, a group of youth harassed and attempted to undress women and girls whom they accused of wearing trousers in Wendo Genet (Wondo-Genet, Sidama). The perpetrators indicated that local customary elders had passed a decree ordering girls and women not to wear trousers in public. The Wondo Genet town administration stated that local elders had passed no decree, but other groups, who intended to destabilize the town, instrumentalized the perpetrators. The Sidama region police subsequently arrested 6 perpetrators. | Political | ACLED | |
| 30-09-2025 | Violence against civilians in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 30 September 2025, Qemant ethnic militia abducted 7 civilians in Meslul near Gendewuha town, also called Shahidi (Gendawuha town, West Gondar, Amhara). Motive unknown. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 30-09-2025 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Tigray | Change to armed group: Around 30 September 2025 (end of month), approximately 550 Kebele militias, members of the Tigray Regional Police, and former TDF members, joined the Tigray Peace Forces (TPF) in Gereb Ago (also known as Tsehafiti), Wajirat (Southern Tigray, Tigray). | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-09-2025 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 29 September 2025, ENDF conducted a drone strike in Tekulesh (Raya Kobo, North Wello, Amhara). Casualties unknown. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-09-2025 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Amhara | Around 29 September 2025 (as reported), ENDF conducted a drone strike near Genete Mariam church in Lalibela (Lalibela town, North Wello, Amhara). There were no fatalities. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 29-09-2025 | Explosions/Remote violence in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 29 September 2025, ENDF conducted a drone strike in Kalim (Raya Kobo, North Wello, Amhara), killing 4 civilians. The drone struck a secondary school located in the town. An unspecified number of civilians sustained injuries. | Conflict | Fatalities: 4 | ACLED |
| 28-09-2025 | Riots in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 September 2025, overnight, youths (referred to as Qeerroos) stabbed and killed 3 former OLF-OLA members near a hotel where they had been drinking at an unspecified location in Toke Kutaye Woreda (location coded to admin center, Guder, Guder town, West Shewa, Oromia), after accusing the victims of intimidating and harassing community members. The victims had peacefully surrendered to the government eight months earlier. | Political | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 28-09-2025 | Riots in Ethiopia, Central Ethiopia | On 28 September 2025, a group of demonstrators clashed with the Central Ethiopia state police in Buta Jira (Butajira town, Guraghe, Central Ethiopia). The youth from the ethnic Meskan group started demonstrating and closed the town's main roads with tyres and rocks. When the police arrived and attempted to disperse the demonstrators and open the road, they threw stones and clashed with the police. The police shot and killed 3 and wounded 4 rioters. Initially, the disagreement arose between youths from the Meskan and Dobi communities (both of which belong to the Bete Guraghe community) over the ownership of the Sinano Sera customary dispute resolution system. The youth belonging to the Meskan community filed a formal complaint with the Butajira town administration, detailing their conviction that the Sinano Sera customary dispute resolution system belongs to their own community. The Dobi community members began conducting Sinano Sera on 28 September, which instigated the demonstration by ethnic Meskan youths. Police subsequently arrested 47 persons (coded separately). | Political | Fatalities: 3 | ACLED |
| 28-09-2025 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Oromia | On 28 September 2025, 63 OLF-OLA fighters, including OLA's senior commander, peacefully surrendered their weapons to ENDF at an unspecified location in Jarte Jardega (location coded to the admin center, Alibo, in Horo Gudru Wellega, Oromia). The OLF-OLA downplayed the surrender, stating that those fighters returning to peace have neglected the struggle for Oromo freedom and left OLA due to misconduct, calling the claim merely government propaganda. The OLF-OLA fighters were welcomed in a ceremony held in Shambu town on the same day. | Conflict | ACLED | |
| 28-09-2025 | Strategic developments in Ethiopia, Amhara | On 28 September 2025, ENDF, Amhara regional riot police, and Kebele Militia regained control of Mekane Selam (Borena-Debresina, South Wello, Amhara). The government forces and local leaders withdrew from the town on 27 September 2025 (coded separately). Fano withdrew from the town the next morning, and the state forces returned. There were no clashes. | Conflict | ACLED |
Risk Profile
Improved way to analyze the severity of humanitarian crises globally. It allows measurement of severity against an objective, common scale, which can be applied to all crises.
Risk Score
Emergencies by disaster type
Emergencies
Landslide
2
Flood
2
Storm Surge
1
Earthquake
1
Drought
1
Population movement
1
Other
2